Monday, May 29, 2006

Hayden Speaks

By Melissa Boyle Mahle
The confirmation hearing for General Hayden as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) offered a lot of food for thought—all six hours of it. I was disappointed in the quality of questions from many of our elected leaders, but I guess that just indicates the degree to which partisan politics outweigh substance in Washington. Without doing a blow by blow, or referring back to the transcripts as a crib sheet, I offer the following impressions:

Loyalty

Hayden opened with a statement of appreciation to the workforce of his former agency, the National Security Agency. Wow! This was a powerful demonstration that the boss is supportive of his troops, in good and in difficult times, even when he no longer is their boss. This message will not be lost on the folks at CIA.

Honesty

Hayden did not wobble on his pro-reform message. He did it in an in-your-face way by praising the work and person of the out-going director, Porter Goss. He basically said that he (Hayden) will continue on the same reform path that Goss paved. Let’s be specific here: He will not back away from integrating the CIA into the Intelligence Community (IC). Operations (now call National Collection Service-NCS) will not reign supreme. Analysts will share.

Backbone

Hayden was very respectful and engaging during the confirmation hearing. In the many questions about his role in the domestic surveillance program, he explained what and when he did and why he did it. When he ran up against secrecy requirements, he pledged to answer the questions in closed session. When our elected representatives got a bit hostile, Hayden showed his backbone, staying his ground, ultimately telling them that they would have to judge his character. That was a nuclear strike as far as I was concerned. Here is a guy who has devoted his entire life to serving his country, made the rank of general, under hostile questions when the nation is at war, played the big card of ‘look at me and my past—do you think I’d be sitting in this chair today, with the full confidence of the DNI and the President, if I did not have the character to serve?!’

Vision

This is where I think our representatives failed in their questioning. We only got a glimpse of Hayden’s vision. But I must admit that I like what I heard.

Hayden said he wants to get the CIA back to work and out of the news. As a leader, he will provide head coverage so that the workforce can take the risks they need to do their job. He said it is time to end the “archaeology” of examining past failures and successes. When he said that, I immediately flashed back to George Tenet’s confirmation hearing as DCI. It sounded good then, just as it sounds good now. There is only one problem with this. Until the CIA figures out what it is doing wrong and why, it will not be able to fix it. There is no lessons learned process at Langley. Furthermore, until the CIA rebuilds its public credibility and public trust, it will not be out of the news. Hayden will need a big success to turn the public debate around. Again, remembering the Tenet years, he had a huge success right away, the apprehension of the guy that killed the CIA officers on Langley’s front door step.

Hayden did not support breaking up the CIA. Good. He seemed open to the idea of a new super secret organization for non-traditional human collection, but also seemed to want to make the current structure work first.

Oversight

Hayden pledged to work closely with the oversight committees. All directors do this. What I found more interesting was Roberts little tantrum about how the oversight committee handled the limited briefing on the wireless tapping op by NSA. He did not like the flak he was getting from the Democrats on the committee that were not included in the initial briefings. He insisted that he was knowledgeable, asking all the right questions and that oversight was in great shape.

The lady doeth protest too much. Oversight is broken, has always been broken and will likely always be broken. The model is wrong. The whole wiretap problem is an example of Congress not doing its job. The President was correct that we need to be able to look inside the US for threats. Congress’ job is to create the legislative framework to keep the nation safe and protect civil liberties. Congress needs to fix FISA so that this and other domestic intelligence collection operations can function under judicial review.

Confirmation
For those who thought it would be a hard confirmation, you were wrong. The politics involved guaranteed quick confirmation. The mid-term elections are rapidly approaching. No one wants to look soft on national security right now. Delaying the confirmation would look bad. Hayden was an excellent choice given his credentials. Now he just has to prove that he can do the job.

General Hayden, we are all watching you and good luck!

Saturday, May 13, 2006

Domestic Spying and the NSA

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

In the New York Times this Sunday, 14 May, I will have an op-ed on the nomination of Gen. Michael Hayden as the new head of the CIA. I am certain that I will get some negative feedback related to emerging press stories about the NSA and domestic spying. I stand by my assessment in the op-ed even more because this latest story of NSA out of the box thinking tells me that Hayden is creative, recognizes a good idea when he sees one and will bring fresh air to the CIA.

First of all, I think the NSA program to collect domestic telephone records to be exactly the kind of program that we need to have in the global war on terror. People forget very quickly it seems that on 9/11 we found ourselves blind domestically. We had no idea what terrorists might be doing inside the USA. Worse yet, we had a ton of intelligence indicating contact between known terrorists overseas and individuals in the USA.

There are several aspects of the operation that legitimately should be questioned because it is essentially a large fishing operation. Intel agencies are free to fish overseas, but domestically it runs counter to our ethos and sometimes our laws. Are civil liberties sufficiently protected? Is it legal? Has Congress been briefed? Is the gain worth the risk?

In order to answer these questions, you need to understand how the program works. Richard Falkenrath’s op-ed in the Washington Post today provides a good description.

The Right Call on Phone Records
The NSA's Program Safeguards Security -- and Civil Liberties
By Richard A. Falkenrath
Washington Post
Saturday, May 13, 2006; A17

On Thursday, USA Today reported that three U.S. telecommunications companies have been voluntarily providing the National Security Agency with anonymized domestic telephone records -- that is, records stripped of individually identifiable data, such as names and place of residence. If true, the architect of this program deserves our thanks and probably a medal. That architect was presumably Gen. Michael Hayden, former director of the NSA and President Bush's nominee to become director of the Central Intelligence Agency.

The potential value of such anonymized domestic telephone records is best understood through a hypothetical example. Suppose a telephone associated with Mohamed Atta had called a domestic telephone number A. And then suppose that A had called domestic telephone number B. And then suppose that B had called C. And then suppose that domestic telephone number C had called a telephone number associated with Khalid Sheik Mohammed, the mastermind of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. The most effective way to recognize such patterns is the computerized analysis of billions of phone records. The large-scale analysis of anonymized data can pinpoint individuals -- at home or abroad -- who warrant more intrusive investigative or intelligence techniques, subject to all safeguards normally associated with those techniques.

Clearly, there is a compelling national interest in understanding and penetrating such terrorist networks. If the people associated with domestic telephone numbers A, B and C are inside the United States and had facilitated the Sept. 11 attacks, perhaps they are facilitating a terrorist plot now. The American people rightly expect their government to detect and prevent such plots…


Protection of Civil Liberties?

Nobody wants to have their telephone conversations taped and held for posterity in some USG vault. This program does not do that. It is simply a data base of tolling records stripped of every thing but telephone calls made and received, date and time. This is a very efficient design and gives utmost protection to personal privacy. Polling indicates most Americans feel sufficiently protected with the controls set up in the system as described publicly. But oversight of the program by Congress is critical to ensure abuses do not occur.

Is it Legal?

I am no lawyer and others must weigh in on this. But is seems to me that the Patriot Act covers this type of collection. Coming on the heels of the warrantless wiretap controversy, I think that we should run this question to ground. If it is not legal, then Congress needs to create legislation to address it.

Has Congress Been Briefed?

Our representatives are being a bit coy on this. It is a secret program. It is difficult to confirm that there have been briefings without confirming that there is a secret program. Reading the tea leaves, however, it sounds like it was briefed to the oversight committees, not just the Gang of Eight. Oversight should address issues of legality and appropriateness. Oversight should also address controls. What happens to the data? Is it stored indefinitely? Who has access to it and under what circumstances? Can law enforcement use the data base for criminal investigations unrelated to terrorism?

Is the Gain worth the Risks?

As a fishing operation, there must be a net assessment at some point that the operation is worth continuing. Collecting data for years that never or only seldom produces a significant intelligence lead is a poor use of resources. NSA will have to make the assessment, but Congress must be diligent in demanding to see periodic reviews. From my past experience, I know that terrorist toll data information is very useful in connecting cells and figuring out the command and control structure. Having a data base that goes back years gives you confidence that you are seeing a large piece of the fabric. But at the end of the day, the data base must demonstrate its usefulness or you make the mental note that it is not worth the time to check it every time you get a phone number.

And Leaks

Why are we even talking about this? This is a secret program. I don’t think terrorists are stupid and they know that we are monitoring the phones and the internet in the US and around the world. However, I know terrorists can get lazy, use bad tradecraft and leave footprints behind. Telephone calls are footprints. Not only what is said in them, but the very fact that they took place. Why do we have to remind the bad guys that we are looking for these particular kinds of footprints?

Once again, all leaks are bad.

Saturday, May 06, 2006

Another Short Chapter: D/CIA Porter Goss

By Melissa Boyle Mahle


President Bush announced the resignation of D/CIA Porter Goss Friday afternoon. There was little in explanation in answer to why and why now. First I would note that Friday afternoon CIA news is getting to be routine. Maybe the mainstream press goes to bed for the weekend, but not the blogosphere. So by Monday morning, the tone of the commentary will already be set.

Why Resign?

This folks is Washington accountability. We have called for it. Prayed for it. And finally are seeing it. Goss was sent to the CIA to turn around a big ship that was lost in the storm post 9/11. He arrived as the Director of Central Intelligence and left heading a much smaller portfolio of Director of the CIA. Despite a whittling down of his job description, he never took control of the ship.

We should be fair. Goss arrived with a reform agenda. The CIA is terribly resistant to reform. Early mis-steps, however, resulted in a lack of trust between the Seventh Floor and the rest of the organization. We all know that if you don’t trust somebody, you will not agree to be led down a long dark alley way to an unknown destination on the basis of “orders from above”. So, Goss got a lot of push back when he presented his vision for reform.

What Goss wanted to do was to transform basic structures on how the CIA did its business. Henceforth, the CIA would integrate internally and externally. The Directorate of Operations transformed in name to the National Clandestine Services (NCS), but senior managers resisted the vision because ultimately they were not to be part of it. No, they would not lose their jobs, but their career would no longer be the model for success. The terms of reference would be so different, what kind of jobs offered prestige, what meant success, who would influence and shape the new path, they would become bit players, has-beens of another age.

So we saw resignations of senior officials, falling on their swords to prevent Goss from “ruining” the service. We saw a lot of fireworks about the Gosslings (staff surrounding Goss), on how disrespectful there were of seasoned officers. We saw a hemorrhage of mid-level officers leaving the CIA for greener pastures at DOD. We saw growing criticism from outside, questioning why Goss was not transforming the Agency along the lines of his vision. Finally, we saw greater discussion of perhaps the better way was to break up the CIA, so that it could be a HUMINT agency and really specialize. Goss resisted this, maybe his Case Officer instincts or political antenna told him to do so. Breaking up the CIA is the first step to abolishing it.

So, a critical mass of misdeeds, poor performance and growing disappointment, probably shared by Goss, led to the resignation.

Why Now?

There has been much speculation in the press that there was a triggering event. This may be true. However, I would note that there have rumors for months now that Goss wanted to resign.

There has been speculation that his resignation was related to a growing internal scandal that threatens to implicate a senior CIA official, Dusty Foggo, in a corruption scandal connected to the bribery case of former Rep. Randy “Duke” Cunningham. Did Goss fall on his sword to protect Foggo from being fired? Personally, I doubt it. Goss is not the kind of guy that falls on his sword to protect a controversial figure inside the NCS. The firing of Foggo would stir internal criticism, especially coming on the heels of the firing of Mary McCarthy, but I don’t think it would have been a uniting issue for the work force that would have caused a mutiny, particularly within the NCS.

I suspect the timing has to do with politics. Bolton is hard at work putting together a new team for the Bush Administration that will take it through to the end of the term. Bolton is taking rapid action because time is short; the mid-term elections are just a few months away. Since Goss was not expected to stay on, now was the time to leave.

What Next?

There is a lot of speculation on who will be the next head of the CIA. Interestingly, the press is reporting that it will likely be General Hayden, the Deputy Director for National Intelligence. When the ODNI was set up, I doubt that anyone thought of it as the spawning ground for IC agency chiefs, but it may very well have this function.

What the CIA really needs in its next leader is a non-political, strong leader, with influence. Hayden could provide this. He has a military background, which is always a plus—look at the history of who has populated senior positions at the CIA. He is a strong leader and has a reputation for doing well in hard jobs. He is a technical guy, which might be a problem for the NCS. It reminds me of the DCI Deutch years. Deutch did not value HUMINT as much as he did technical collection. He put at the head of the DO someone who did not really understand the DO, or think it particularly special. It was not a very good time for DO officers. This will be something to watch if indeed Gen. Hayden in anointed.

Other names from the ODNI are being floated as well. Personally, I think Hayden is the best bet. Anyone coming from the ODNI will have the ear of DNI Negroponte, which will strengthen the new structure.

All in all, I see this transition in a positive light. Goss was not working out. Here is a chance to get it right, re-invigorate the CIA, right-set morale and get everybody back to the business at hand: building the most capable IC.

Monday, May 01, 2006

Leakscape

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

In the past week, numerous individuals have commented publicly and privately on the leak investigation and firing of CIA official Mary McCarthy. The political right has weighed in accusing the CIA once more of playing politics. The political left and the media have stepped forward to defend the "need to leak" if not the “right to leak”. Ms. McCarthy, through her lawyer, has denied being the source of the leak on secret CIA prisons. If it wasn’t such a serious topic, I’d be on the floor laughing at Washington once again gone amok.

But first of all, I want to offer an apology to Ms. McCarthy. In my blog last week, I grappled with the impossible idea of a CIA official willfully leaking to destroy an on-going operation. I had a hard time getting my mind around the idea, like so many other former insiders. Ms. McCarthy says she didn’t do it and the CIA has now clarified its statement not directly linking Ms. McCarthy to the Dana Priest Washington Post article on secret prisons. The operative issue is contacts with the press, not leaking.

While I must say this is all still very murky, a different picture emerges of a CIA in a targeted security program of identifying officers with unauthorized contacts with the press. This is a much larger program and indeed it fits with the statements of D/CIA Goss on his intention to stop leaks. All leaks. This includes statements critical of his leadership to books and articles on the inner workings at the CIA or on foreign and intelligence policy issues in general.

The polygraph is a very blunt instrument and not accurate. If an officer registers any discomfort on a question, the polygrapher will hone in on the issue. After being asked the same question 100 times, the poor person on the box is feeling so beat up that the emotional reaction gets stronger and stronger as a function of the test, not the issue. Once there is suspicion, it is impossible to make it go away. The CIA just does not accept exculpatory information, even if it comes from a CIA counterintelligence investigation. Suspicion equals guilt. Putting this in the context of Ms. McCarthy, it is easy to imagine that an admission of contacts with the press becomes a presumption of leaks to the press. How do you prove a negative?

Was Ms. McCarthy’s firing intended to be an example for the work force? A signal that the CIA is serious about stopping all leaks? Yes. Will it make the CIA even more insular? Yes. Will it help or harm morale? It depends. They are against leaks of classified information. The workforce does not think that this kind of leaking is a serious problem. Views on internal management, politicization, dissent and intelligence policy—many don’t consider these as classified and therefore not leaks. Goss, however, has a different view. If officers cannot find internal ways to address issues and they cannot use external levers for change, they will simply vote with their feet—which they are already doing.

The press has been full of articles and opinion pieces of leaking, the CIA and security in general. Below is a sampling of the more interesting ones.

Washington Post
Polygraph Results Often in Question
CIA, FBI Defend Test's Use in Probes
By Dan Eggen and Shankar Vedantam
Monday, May 1, 2006; A01

The CIA, the FBI and other federal agencies are using polygraph machines more than ever to screen applicants and hunt for lawbreakers, even as scientists have become more certain that the equipment is ineffective in accurately detecting when people are lying.

Instead, many experts say, the real utility of the polygraph machine, or "lie detector," is that many of the tens of thousands of people who are subjected to it each year believe that it works -- and thus will frequently admit to things they might not otherwise acknowledge during an interview or interrogation.

Many researchers and defense attorneys say the technology is prone to a high number of false results that have stalled or derailed hundreds of careers and have prevented many qualified applicants from joining the fight against terrorism. At the FBI, for example, about 25 percent of applicants fail a polygraph exam each year, according to the bureau's security director.

The polygraph has emerged as a pivotal tool in the CIA's aggressive effort to identify suspected leakers after embarrassing disclosures about government anti-terrorism tactics. The agency fired a veteran officer, Mary O. McCarthy, on April 20, alleging that she had shared classified information and operational details with The Washington Post and other news organizations, a charge her lawyer disputes.

CIA officials have said that McCarthy failed more than one polygraph examination administered by the CIA, but the details surrounding those interviews remain unclear. Dozens of senior-level CIA officials have been subjected to polygraph tests as part of the inquiry, which is aimed at identifying employees who may have talked to reporters about classified programs, including providing information about the agency's network of secret prisons for terrorism suspects.

"The reason an officer at CIA was terminated was for having unauthorized contact with the media and the improper release of classified information," said Paul Gimigliano, a CIA spokesman. "Don't think in terms of a failure of a polygraph being the reason for termination -- the polygraph is one tool in an investigative process."

In the popular mind, fueled by Hollywood representations, polygraphs are lie-detection machines that can peer inside people's heads to determine whether they are telling the truth.

The scientific reality is far different: The machines measure various physiological changes, including in blood pressure and heart rate, to determine when subjects are getting anxious, based on the idea that deception involves an element of anxiety. But because an emotion such as anxiety can be triggered by many factors other than lying, experts worry that the tests can overlook smooth-talking liars while pointing a finger at innocent people who just happen to be rattled.

In settings in which large numbers of employees are screened to determine whether they are spies, the polygraph produces results that are extremely problematic, according to a comprehensive 2002 review by a federal panel of distinguished scientists. The study found that if polygraphs were administered to a group of 10,000 people that included 10 spies, nearly 1,600 innocent people would fail the test -- and two of the spies would pass.

"Its accuracy in distinguishing actual or potential security violators from innocent test takers is insufficient to justify reliance on its use in employee security screening in federal agencies," the panel concluded.

Polygraph test results are also generally inadmissible in federal courts and in most state courts because of doubts about their reliability. Statements or admissions made by test subjects during a polygraph session, however, can often be used by prosecutors at trial, according to legal experts.

But even critics of the polygraph concede that it can help managers learn things about employees that would otherwise remain hidden. That aspect of polygraph testing lies at the heart of its continuing appeal, said Alan Zelicoff, a former scientist at Sandia National Laboratories who quit because he believed that polygraphs are unethical.

Although polygraph tests involving national security are supposed to be about a handful of questions involving espionage, Zelicoff said the tests take hours: "In each and every test, what happens is after question two or three the questioner will pause and very deliberately take a long hard look at the chart and take a deep breath and sigh and say, 'You did really well on question one, but on the second question, about whether you released classified information, I am getting a strange reading. Tell you what -- I am going to turn the machine off and I am going to ask whether there is something you want to get off your chest.' "

"That is what the polygraph is about," said Zelicoff, who has testimony from several employees who are angry about the tests. "It is about an excuse to conduct a wide-ranging inquisition."

The subjective opinions of polygraph examiners play a huge role in whether people are said to pass or fail, said William Iacono, a psychologist at the University of Minnesota who has extensively studied the technique. As evidence, Iacono said that polygraph tests rarely find problems among senior staff members at organizations, even as 30 to 40 percent of applicants for entry-level positions fail.

"The director of the CIA just took a test," said Iacono. "How would you like to be the examiner who gave him a test and say he failed? What kind of a career would you have?"

The president of the American Polygraph Association, T.V. O'Malley, said polygraph technology is held to an unfair standard in many cases, and he compared it to mammograms and other medical screening procedures that are imperfect but valuable in detecting problems. He also acknowledged that some of the polygraph's value is simply in prompting people to tell the truth.

"It's kind of like confessing . . . to a priest: You feel a little better by getting rid of your baggage," O'Malley said. "The same thing often happens with a polygraph examination."

Charles S. Phalen Jr., the FBI's assistant director for security, said the polygraph is a vital component of the bureau's security program.

"This is the most effective collection tool that we have in our arsenal of security tools to identify disqualifying behavior and disqualifying activities," Phalen said. "I will never sit here and say this is a perfect tool because it's not. . . . In and of itself it won't produce the truth, but it's a way at getting at the truth."

The ubiquity of polygraph testing in the federal government is due in large part to spy scandals that rocked the government over the past dozen years, including those involving Aldrich Ames at the CIA and Robert P. Hanssen at the FBI. Ames was allowed to continue working despite questionable polygraph results, whereas Hanssen was never given a lie-detector exam during his long FBI career.

Previous efforts to implement wide-scale testing were met with fierce opposition not only from rank-and-file employees but also from senior government officials. In 1985, President Ronald Reagan scaled back an order requiring thousands of government employees to submit to polygraphs after Secretary of State George P. Shultz threatened to resign if ordered to take one.

As part of changes implemented after Hanssen's arrest in 2001, the FBI now conducts about 8,000 polygraph tests each year, most of which involve current employees, applicants and contractors. All applicants and new employees undergo a polygraph at the FBI, and nearly every employee -- including the director -- is subject to a new test every five years, officials said.

The CIA enacted broader testing policies after Ames's unmasking. At the Department of Energy, which implemented changes as a result of the Wen Ho Lee case, about 20,000 employees are currently eligible for mandatory polygraph screening tests. (Lee, a former nuclear weapons scientist, was held by the government for purportedly smuggling weapon-design secrets to China; all but one charge was dropped.)

The Department of Energy is considering scaling back its program to focus on 4,500 employees with access to the most sensitive information, in large part because of the 2002 analysis by the federal panel, according to a congressional report released last week.

Many scientists who criticize polygraphs as a screening tool say the machines can be effective when used as part of a "guilty-knowledge test." In a bank robbery investigation, for example, suspects could be quizzed in multiple-choice tests on whether they knew if the weapon used was a gun or a knife, whether the money taken was $10, $1,000 or $10,000.

Focused questions that test whether people have memory of an event yield far more reliable results than open-ended screening tests that rely on emotions that can be triggered by a wide range of factors, said Iacono, who added that the federal government has resolutely refused to use the guilty-knowledge test. Officials have declined to describe the kind of tests McCarthy underwent at the CIA.

Iacono said conventional polygraph tests have little scientific validity but allow examiners to say, "I am getting the sense you are holding something back; is there something you want to tell me?"

"When people hear that, they admit things it would be difficult to get in any other way," he said. "People will confess to crimes or make admissions about themselves or other people. They may reveal suspicions about a co-worker or explain they did something they should not have done. The government loves that."

Researcher Julie Tate contributed to this report.


New York Times
There Are Leaks. And Then There Are Leaks.
By SCOTT SHANE
April 30, 2006

WASHINGTON

AN intelligence leaker is a hero, risking career and more to reveal warrantless eavesdropping, interrogations bordering on torture, prisons out of reach of American law. Or the leaker is a villain, whose treachery endangers the lives of American operatives, exposes intelligence methods and scares off foreign agents.

Or a little bit of both.

In fact, American intelligence leaks have created divisions since the Revolutionary War, when the pamphleteer Thomas Paine publicized documents containing a state secret: that the United States received covert aid from France before it openly became an ally. Paine was forced to resign as secretary of a Congressional committee in 1779.

America's mixed feelings on leaks have rarely been on such striking display as they were this month. Three days after The Washington Post and The New York Times won Pulitzer Prizes for articles based on classified intelligence, the Central Intelligence Agency fired a senior official, Mary O. McCarthy, for unauthorized disclosure of secrets to the press. And last week, Karl Rove, President Bush's political adviser, was back before a grand jury investigating whether administration officials had leaked a covert C.I.A. official's identity.

Without leaks, says Anthony A. Lapham, a former C.I.A. general counsel, there might never have been public debate over some measures used by intelligence agencies to fight terrorism. He thinks the debate may be worth whatever damage the leaks have done. But he cannot bring himself to approve of the leakers.

"There's a premise that it's O.K. for someone to leak because they're serving a higher purpose, a higher loyalty," he said. "Well, the next thing you know, you have a whole building full of people with a higher loyalty, each to a different principle. And pretty soon you don't have a functioning intelligence agency."

In the last three decades, there have been several other episodes in which an intelligence leak generated a national debate over the benefits and harm of such disclosures.

In 1974, for example, Seymour Hersh, then a reporter for The New York Times, chronicled the details of what government sources had leaked to him: a 690-page compilation of agency break-ins, wiretapping and reading of mail, plus files on 10,000 Americans.

Mr. Hersh began his Dec. 22, 1974, article: "The Central Intelligence Agency, directly violating its charter, conducted a massive, illegal domestic intelligence operation during the Nixon Administration against the antiwar movement and other dissident groups in the United States, according to well-placed government sources."

The article prompted a presidential commission and two Congressional inquiries, leading to new laws governing the spy agencies. Mr. Hersh, now with The New Yorker, declined to comment on his reporting or on leaks. "I never talk about sources," he said.

But Loch K. Johnson, an intelligence expert at the University of Georgia who served as a staff member on the Senate's Church Committee in 1975, did. "It's a beautiful example of how the press is really the most important overseer of intelligence in this country," Mr. Johnson said.

Then there was the case of Philip Agee, a C.I.A. officer from 1957 to 1969, serving mostly in Latin America. Mr. Agee gradually became not just a critic, but an avowed enemy of the agency and its mission. In a series of articles and books, he published the names of undercover C.I.A. officers and their agents. His books named more than 4,000 alleged C.I.A. operatives. "Millions of people all over the world had been killed or at least had had their lives destroyed by the C.I.A. and the institutions it supports," Mr. Agee told a Playboy interviewer in 1975. "I couldn't just sit by and do nothing."

But Mr. Agee's actions were widely condemned as leaking for the purpose of destruction, not reform; he was a leading figure in a practice that became a cottage industry for some radical publications in the 1970's. Most notoriously, a magazine called CounterSpy identified Richard Welch as the C.I.A. station chief in Athens and 18 months later, he was assassinated there. Mr. Agee has denied any responsibility for the death.

The work of Mr. Agee, who in recent years has run a travel agency in Cuba, inspired its own reform: the Intelligence Identities Act of 1982, which banned the disclosure of the names of undercover officers. One of the few investigations conducted under the law is the one in which Mr. Rove is now involved.

While liberals have generally been more inclined to suspicion of intelligence agencies, leaks have also come from conservatives. David S. Sullivan, for example, was forced to resign as an agency analyst in 1978 after he gave classified documents on strategic arms limitation talks with the Soviet Union to Richard Perle, then an aide to Senator Henry M. Jackson. Like Mr. Jackson, Mr. Sullivan was a hawk who believed, as he argued in a 1978 article, that the Soviets used arms talks as a "smokescreen" to hide their nuclear superiority.

Mr. Perle had a security clearance, but the leak to him was unauthorized.

Stansfield Turner, then director of central intelligence, later told a reporter that Mr. Sullivan had "jeopardized important secrets for our country." "He quit 30 seconds before I fired him," Mr. Turner said. Mr. Sullivan's conservative admirers disagreed, and he was hired as a Senate staffer.

A leaker does not have to work for an intelligence agency to face discipline. In 1996, the C.I.A. forced Richard A. Nuccio, a State Department official, out of his job by stripping him of his security clearance.

Mr. Nuccio had found evidence that a Guatemalan Army officer and C.I.A. informant, Col. Julio Roberto Alpirez, might have played a role in the death of Efraín Bamaca, a Guatemalan guerrilla leader married to an American, Jennifer Harbury.

Mr. Nuccio gave the information to Senator Robert G. Torricelli , Democract of New Jersey, who quickly made it public. The C.I.A. director, John Deutch , fired two agency officials for their roles in the Guatemala affair. But he upheld a decision to revoke Mr. Nuccio's clearance.

Mr. Deutch also began to require special approval for the use of unsavory characters as agency informants — a policy suspended after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, when officers argued that only terrorists would know of plans for the next attack.

The change in policy was immediately leaked to the press.


USA Today Editorial
All leaks aren't equal; it's the meaning that matters
Posted 4/27/2006 6:35 PM ET

For those not paying close daily attention, here's a catch-up on the Bush administration's hunt to uncover people who leak information it wants hidden:

•Wednesday, President Bush's closest political ally, Deputy Chief of Staff Karl Rove, was called for the fifth time before a grand jury exploring the leak of a CIA operative's name. Vice President Cheney's former chief of staff is already under indictment as part of this probe; he says Bush himself authorized his disclosures.

•Last week, in an unrelated incident, the CIA very publicly fired a high-ranking CIA officer for unspecified leaks — which she denies.

•Meanwhile, hunts continue to discover who provided information to The Washington Post and The New York Times for two stories that embarrassed the administration. One disclosed that the CIA had been operating a covert prison system for gloves-off interrogation of terrorism suspects, possibly violating U.S. and international laws. The other revealed the government was eavesdropping without court warrants on telephone conversations of thousands of U.S. residents.

Are these, as the administration claims, outrageous leaks that jeopardize national security? Or are they attempts by honest people to expose abuse of power?

The vast majority of Washington leaks are neither. They usually have nothing to do with national security, and they come from a politician, bureaucrat or lobbyist trying to manipulate the news media into peddling a selective version of reality on a no-name basis.

But occasionally, a leak is something more.

Coincidentally, a memoir arrived this week from Watergate's "Deep Throat." It reminds us that some leaks are leaks of conscience, from public-spirited individuals trying to blow the whistle on government practices at odds with American ideals.

W. Mark Felt, then second-in-command at the FBI, writes: "From the start, it was clear that senior administration officials were up to their necks in this mess, and that they would stop at nothing to sabotage our investigation." Events proved how right he was.

Felt is one of many. Defense analyst Daniel Ellsberg leaked the Pentagon papers in 1971, after he couldn't get anyone in the administration or Congress to take seriously the implications of the detailed history of U.S. involvement in Vietnam that he had compiled.

More recently, a still-unidentified person leaked the photos of prisoner abuse at Iraq's Abu Ghraib, sensing that the only way to stop such practices was to appeal to the sensibilities of the public.

Harmful to U.S. interests? Definitely. Essential to protect U.S. values? No doubt. The same dichotomy applies in the secret-prison and wiretapping stories.

Nor is the leak of conscience limited to government. Embarrassed employees of the tobacco industry exposed its coverup aimed at denying the deadliness of their product.

That is not to say that employees anywhere should have free rein to say anything. At the CIA, for instance, employees are generally prohibited from talking to the news media or writing about their experiences. Even in more normal circumstances, confidentiality is essential to conducting business.

But as the leak probes continue, it's important to maintain a distinction between those who leak to help themselves and those who leak, at personal risk, to let the public know its leaders are flouting law or abusing power.

People can decide whether the programs and policies exposed are noble or shameful — just as they were able to draw conclusions about Watergate, Vietnam, Abu Ghraib and the tobacco industry. And despite the cries of those who would operate in secret, isn't that how democracy is supposed to work?


Wall Street Journal COMMENTARY
Leak Soup
By VICTORIA TOENSING
April 29, 2006; Page A8

No, there's not a recent deluge of leaks of classified information. The numbers are consistent with those in the past couple of decades. What is different today is that the kid gloves are off regarding the government's treatment of reporters. Thanks to the clamoring by editorial pages of many major newspapers -- which resulted in Special Counsel Patrick Fitzgerald investigating the publishing of CIA employee Valerie Plame's name -- case law makes it clear that journalists can be hauled before the grand jury and forced to cough up their sources, or face Miller time in jail.

Editorial writers professed to be shocked and appalled by the leaking that led to columnist Bob Novak publishing Ms. Plame's name (in the context that perhaps nepotism was involved in the CIA sending her husband on a mission for which he was unqualified). The Chicago Tribune ranted that "there is a burden on the Justice Department and the White House to prove that they will pursue this aggressively and honestly. . . . If someone in leaked classified information . . . boot him out and let the prosecutors deal with him." "The leakers should be prosecuted," railed the Dallas Morning News, joyful that the CIA asked the Justice Department to investigate. The Los Angeles Times echoed that sentiment.

The Providence Journal declared that if people at the White House leaked, "heads should roll" and called Bob Novak's reporting "despicable." The most legally unsophisticated response was from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, characterizing the charges as "perilously close to treason." The only debate for the media in the fall of 2003 was whether the Justice Department or a special counsel should investigate the matter.

John Ashcroft's Justice Department bowed to the pressure and appointed Mr. Fitzgerald, a prosecutor who pursued alleged leakers with the same vigor, legal tools and blinders he had used against terrorists. Without ever establishing an underlying crime, he managed to tie in knots numerous media giants, including Time magazine and the New York Times. Time's Matthew Cooper agreed to testify just before the jail cell clanked shut, but the Times's Judith Miller spent 85 days in the clink. In the process, Mr. Fitzgerald firmly established that when the government pursues a leak of merely alleged classified information, the reporter loses.

Now the press wants to backpedal on leak investigations. Let's give them the benefit of the doubt and say it is only a coincidence that their initial ardor for a leak investigation -- when a conservative columnist "exposed" a spouse of a media darling because he criticized the Bush administration -- cooled once the New York Times and the Washington Post published stories "exposing" a National Security Agency surveillance program and purported secret prisons outside the United States.

Today the debate is about what constitutes a "good" or "bad" leak. And it's the White House's fault that classified information is leaked. According to Washington Post columnist David Broder, only when the administration is ready "to explain itself . . . will there be fewer Mary McCarthys contemplating the costs -- and burdens -- of leaking to the press." Sympathy is being elicited as the press characterizes her termination as "not fair" because, by contrast, the reporter got a Pulitzer for publishing the same information she had leaked. One MSNBC anchor even asked whether she should be described as a "sacrificial lamb." So much for "booting out" the leaker.

Doesn't the press know that if Ms. McCarthy, or any other government employee, is concerned about conduct involving classified information, there is a federal whistleblower statute that permits her to report it to either the agency's inspector general or Congress? The decision to prosecute leaks of classified information cannot be distorted through a moralistic prism of whether the leaks are "right" or "wrong." To do so ignores the damage done in the same way as excusing a violent terrorist attack because those who maimed and killed innocent civilians did so for a "good reason."

The government must decide whether to prosecute leaks by evaluating the following factors: the gravity of harm to national security because of the information compromised, whether there is a law prohibiting the disclosure of that information, and whether a prosecution would further harm national security by disclosing even more classified information. The factor that used to be a deterrent to a criminal leak investigation when I worked for the Senate Intelligence Committee and the Justice Department -- whether to subpoena a journalist -- is no longer that much of a hindrance.

During my tenure in government a leak investigation might begin, but everyone knew that when it got down to the nitty-gritty of subpoenaing the reporter the investigation would grind to a halt. By that time, whoever had called for the investigation, usually a member of Congress (but never the press), had moved on to other matters. And the Justice Department would get credit for at least having gone through the motions.

When my husband and law partner, Joseph diGenova, was independent counsel for the leak of information about President Clinton's passport, he decided not to subpoena the journalists who had published the information after he contacted them and they said they would refuse to name their sources. He made the decision by weighing the seriousness of an actual crime -- a Privacy Act violation -- against possibly sending reporters to jail. Concern for the reporters prevailed.

In Mr. Fitzgerald's investigation, he has yet to provide any evidence there was an actual crime committed in the course of providing Ms. Plame's name to the press. And yet he still sent a journalist to jail. By so doing, he has shifted the presumption of whether to subpoena journalists. If the media want to know whom to blame for the spate in serious investigations of their reporting classified information, they should look in the mirror.

Ms. Toensing, a Washington lawyer, is a former chief counsel for the Senate Intelligence Committee and former deputy assistant attorney general in the Reagan administration.


LA Times Commentary
Read the news, go to jail
Most Americans possess classified information, whether they know it or not.
By David Wise
April 30, 2006

Unencumbered by a 1st Amendment, Britain for almost 100 years has had an Official Secrets Act to prevent leaks to the media and to prosecute offenders, including journalists.

Some Bush administration officials and members of Congress are casting a longing eye at the British law. If only the United States had a similar law, their reasoning goes, the reporters who revealed CIA-run prisons in Eastern Europe and the National Security Agency's warrantless wiretapping of terrorism suspects would be prosecuted instead of receiving Pulitzer Prizes.

The Constitution remains a barrier to those who would restrict the flow of information to the media — and thus to the public. But administration policies are gradually chipping away at its protections. The nation is in danger of having an Official Secrets Act not through passage of a law — although that is still a possibility — but through incremental steps.

The evidence is mounting:

• Judith Miller, as a reporter for the New York Times, spent 85 days in jail after refusing to name a confidential source in the investigation by Special Prosecutor Patrick J. Fitzgerald into the leak of the name of CIA officer Valerie Plame. Miller and half a dozen other reporters have been questioned by the prosecutor.

• Two former staff members of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, or AIPAC, a pro-Israel lobby, are on trial in federal court on charges of conspiring to violate espionage statutes by obtaining defense information from a Pentagon official. Both lobbyists are civilians, and the government does not claim they received any documents, classified or otherwise.

• The National Archives and Records Administration has been embarrassed by the revelation that at least 55,000 documents formerly available to researchers have been withdrawn and reclassified under secret agreements with the military and the CIA. The deals were so secretive that the documents simply disappeared from the shelves. Historian Matthew Aid, who discovered the reclassification, pointed out that because he possesses some of the documents, he might be in violation of the Espionage Act. Allen Weinstein, who heads the National Archives, has halted the documents' reclassification.

• The FBI is seeking access to the papers of the late muckraking columnist Jack Anderson in order to seize any classified documents in his files. Anderson broke many stories the government tried to keep secret. His family, citing the 1st Amendment, has refused the agency's request. It is unclear how far the FBI plans to push the matter, or whether the government will next try to examine the files of other journalists, dead or alive.

• Porter J. Goss, director of the CIA, has testified that "it is my aim and it is my hope" that reporters who receive leaks on intelligence subjects are hauled before a grand jury and forced "to reveal who is leaking this information." The CIA dismissed Mary O. McCarthy, a senior official, for allegedly having unauthorized contacts with the media and disclosing classified information to reporters. The agency let stand the impression that she had leaked the story of the CIA secret prisons for terrorists in Eastern Europe to Dana Priest of the Washington Post, who won a Pulitzer Prize for her account. McCarthy's attorney says she was not the source of the story and has never leaked classified information.

• Congress is considering legislation that would enable the intelligence agencies to revoke the pensions of employees who make unauthorized disclosures. The measure also would allow the CIA and NSA to arrest suspicious people outside their gates without a warrant.

Although the indictment of the two lobbyists for the American Israel Public Affairs Committee is replete with references to "classified information," the espionage laws, with one narrow exception, refer only to "information relating to the national defense." The spy laws were passed in 1917 during World War I. A 1951 presidential executive order created the current system of classifying documents.

There is no law specifically prohibiting leaks, so the government has used the espionage laws to try to combat the practice. President Clinton vetoed anti-leak legislation passed in 2000 that would have made it a crime for a government official to disclose classified information.

To criminalize leaks of government information simply because the information is marked "classified" is absurd on its face. In 2004, the most recent year for which figures are available, the government classified 15,294,087 documents. It is hardly likely that the government has that many real secrets to withhold from its citizens.

Unnecessarily classifying documents is a fact of life in Washington. Many bureaucrats know that unless they stamp a document "secret" or "top secret," their superiors may not even bother to read it. One government agency classified the fact that water does not flow uphill. During World War II, the Army labeled the bow and arrow as a secret, calling it a "silent flashless weapon."

The government's theory in the lobbyists' prosecution could, if it stands, change the nature of how news is gathered in Washington and how lobbyists and academics interact with the government.

"What makes the AIPAC case so alarming," said Steven Aftergood, director of the Project on Government Secrecy of the Federation of American Scientists, "is the defendants are not being charged with being agents of a foreign power but with receiving classified information without authorization. Most Americans who read the newspaper are also in possession of classified information, whether they know it or not. The scope of the charges is incredibly broad."

Officials in Washington talk to reporters every day about matters that may, in some government file cabinet, in some agency, somewhere, be stamped with a secrecy classification. How would a journalist be expected to know that he or she was a "recipient" of classified information, and in theory subject to prosecution under a law that was meant to catch spies?

The original British Official Secrets Act, passed in 1911, allowed the crown to prosecute anyone, even a journalist, who published a railroad timetable. The act was made less draconian in 1989, but it still carries tough provisions and can apply to journalists.

Fleet Street also is guided by Defense Advisory Notices that warn the media against publishing data about military operations, nuclear or other weapons, codes, "sensitive installations" or the intelligence services.

At least until recently, the U.S. government applied the espionage laws to officials who leaked, not to the recipients. "Otherwise," Aftergood said, "Bob Woodward would not be a wealthy, bestselling author. He would be serving a life sentence."

DAVID WISE writes frequently about intelligence and secrecy. He is the author of "Spy: The Inside Story of How the FBI's Robert Hanssen Betrayed America."


Washington Post
Little Is Clear in Laws on Leaks
Statutes Regarding Classified Data Called Hard to Prosecute
By Dan Eggen
Friday, April 28, 2006; A07

The firing of a veteran CIA officer for unauthorized contacts with the press has focused attention on the patchwork of federal laws that govern disclosures of classified information, which are written broadly but are difficult to enforce and have historically been used sparingly in cases involving journalists.

Numerous experts on national security law said Mary O. McCarthy, whom the CIA fired 10 days before her retirement for allegedly having undisclosed contacts with reporters, could conceivably be prosecuted under a number of statutes, including those governing espionage, disclosures of classified information and even theft of government property.

Yet those experts warned that any such prosecution is fraught with obstacles, including the difficulty in showing that disclosures were made with knowledge that they would harm national security or were intended to benefit a foreign power.

In addition, McCarthy's attorney, Ty Cobb, said on Monday that she did not leak classified information to reporters, disputing a key accusation in a CIA statement issued last week. Cobb also said McCarthy did not disclose the existence of secret CIA-run prisons in Eastern Europe to a Washington Post reporter, which has been a primary focus of an internal leak investigation ordered by CIA Director Porter J. Goss.

"From the criminal side, there are a lot of difficulties with respect to this case," said Mark S. Zaid, a Washington lawyer who has represented many former employees in disputes with the CIA and other intelligence agencies. "I wouldn't be surprised if they decline prosecution, because it might create more problems than it's worth."

The case comes amid renewed debate in Congress over whether to increase penalties for leaking or to consider rewriting espionage and classified information laws. This week, the House approved a bill requiring the director of national intelligence to study yanking pensions for those caught revealing secrets.

Unlike in similar cases, such as the New York Times's disclosure of a warrantless eavesdropping program run by the National Security Agency, the CIA has not formally asked the Justice Department or the FBI to open a criminal probe into The Post's article on prisons, law enforcement officials said this week. Reporters at The Post and the Times were awarded Pulitzer Prizes this month for those articles.

In the latter half of the 20th century, including the Cold War years, the government prosecuted only one non-espionage leak case in federal courts. But the Justice Department has more recently signaled its willingness to test the boundaries of espionage law in a case involving two pro-Israel lobbyists, and the CIA and other intelligence agencies have launched aggressive internal probes to detect and punish leakers.

No statute in the U.S. criminal code covers all unauthorized disclosures of classified information, and Congress has debated whether an overarching law should be enacted. President Bill Clinton vetoed one such attempt shortly before he left office, and the Justice Department opposed a similar proposal in 2002, saying most, if not all, incidents can be dealt with under existing laws and administrative procedures.

The Intelligence Identities Protection Act outlaws deliberate identification of covert agents; other laws focus on electronic communications, codes, atomic secrets and other sensitive data.

The pivotal statute is the Espionage Act of 1917, which was aimed at traditional foreign spies when written but, according to the government, is broad enough to encompass a much wider array of situations.

The law outlaws unauthorized disclosure or receipt of a wide range of information "relating to the national defense" and is not explicitly limited to classified data. Many legal experts and defense lawyers argue that the law is so expansive it may be unconstitutional and, said Syracuse University law professor William C. Banks, "shot full of holes."

"It's been very difficult for the government to use the Espionage Act to obtain a conviction for simply leaking information," said Banks, who also runs the Institute for National Security and Counterterrorism at Syracuse. "It was written to cover conventional espionage and spying, not conventional leaking within the government."

But the government was successful in using the statute in the case of Samuel L. Morison, a former Navy intelligence analyst convicted of espionage and theft during the Reagan administration for leaking secret U.S. spy satellite photographs to Jane's Defense Weekly. A judge in the case ruled against defense assertions that the Espionage Act was unconstitutionally vague.

Currently, two lobbyists for the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) are accused of receiving classified information during conversations with government officials, including former Pentagon employee Lawrence A. Franklin, who has been sentenced to 12 years in prison. In bringing the case, the government for the first time indicted two nongovernmental employees under the espionage law.

Prosecutors have also alarmed journalism groups and free-speech advocates by asserting that reporters could be prosecuted under the Espionage Act for receiving and publishing classified information. The laws governing classified material do not make it illegal to publish such material except in specific circumstances; for example, one statute outlaws reproducing or publishing photographs or drawings of designated military installations without government permission.

But in a brief filed in the AIPAC case, Justice Department lawyers argued there "plainly is no exemption in the statutes for the press," saying the Espionage Act and some Supreme Court opinions indicate that journalists can be prosecuted for revealing classified information.

At the same time, the lawyers said that prosecuting a reporter "would raise legitimate and serious issues and would not be undertaken lightly," adding that "the fact that there has never been such a prosecution speaks for itself."

Such disputes have renewed calls to revise the laws on classified information and espionage.

"The system is ossified, complicated and a relic of the Cold War period," said Elizabeth Rindskopf Parker, a former CIA and NSA general counsel who is dean of the University of the Pacific's law school and was recently named to a government board formed to oversee classification issues. "I think it needs to be looked at seriously again."

Researcher Julie Tate contributed to this report.


Financial Times
CIA warns ex-agents over talking to media
By Demetri Sevastopulo in Washington
Published: April 26 2006 22:05 | Last updated: April 26 2006 23:51

The Central Intelligence Agency has warned former employees not to have unapproved contacts with reporters, as part of a mounting campaign by the administration to crack down on officials who leak information on national security issues.
A former official said the CIA recently warned several retired employees who have consulting contracts with the agency that they could lose their pensions by talking to reporters without permission. He added that while the threats might be legally “hollow,” they were having a chilling effect on former employees.
The CIA called the allegations “rubbish”. Jennifer Millerwise Dyke, spokeswoman for CIA director Porter Goss, said former employees with consulting deals could lose their contracts for violating the CIA secrecy agreement by having unauthorised conversations with reporters. But she stressed that under current law, “termination of a contract does not affect pensions”.
The clampdown represents the latest move in what observers describe as the most aggressive government campaign against leaks in years. The Justice Department is investigating the disclosure to the media of secret overseas CIA prisons and a highly classified National Security Agency domestic spying programme authorised by President George W. Bush. Last week, the CIA fired Mary McCarthy, an intelligence officer, for allegedly leaking classified information and having undisclosed contacts with reporters.
Mr Goss has increased the number of “single issue” polygraphs – lie detector tests aimed at ferreting out leaking employees. A second former official said Mr Goss was trying to “scare everybody” by using polygraphs aggressively.
Elizabeth Rindskopf Parker, former CIA general counsel, said Mr Goss was “obviously taking a much more forward-leaning stance than any of us have seen for years”. But another former intelligence official said the agency was simply returning to a “more conservative regimen” to remind employees that they work for a secret organisation.
The House intelligence committee has asked John Negroponte, the director for national intelligence who oversees the 16 intelligence agencies, to study whether retirees could lose their pensions for disclosing classified information even when not prosecuted.
The attempt to silence former employees extends beyond those who still have consulting contracts. Larry Johnson, a former CIA official who blogs at www.TPMCafe.com, said he recently received a “threatening” letter reminding him about his confidentiality agreements.
Mr Johnson – who has criticised the White House for not aggressively investigating the outing of Valerie Plame, a former covert operative, said it was the first such letter he had received despite regularly commenting in the media on intelligence matters since his retirement in 1989. He said other former employees also received letters.
He said the CIA was also “very forceful” in intimidating a retired official who maintains ties to the agency after he signed a letter criticising the administration over the Plame leak.
Mr Gimigliano said CIA staff officers and contractors must sign a secrecy agreement which compelled them to seek prepublication permission for anything they wrote involving the CIA, intelligence matters, and classified material.
Mr Gimigliano added: “When a former officer or contractor fails to honour the legally binding agreement ... our Publications Review Board may send the individual a written reminder. That reminder includes the statement that ‘permission to publish will not be denied solely because information may be embarrassing to or critical of the agency’ ... Obviously, such letters contain no threats.”
But Mr Johnson and other critics say the campaign is also intended to crack down on politically embarrassing comments from former officials.
“They are trying to intimidate the press and trying to intimidate employees,” said Mr Johnson. “Anybody who has been critical of the Bush administration is getting letters.”
Another former CIA employee who maintains links to the agency said it did not need to be blatant about threats because contractors and retirees who had relationships with agency officials understood that talking to reporters could have repercussions for future work.
“People at the agency are bright enough to see that is going on, they don’t need to be reminded,” the former official said.
Stanley Sporkin, former CIA general counsel during the Reagan administration and a retired judge, said it was “ridiculous” that the agency was trying to limit contacts with the media.
He said the only restriction should be that they do not reveal classified information. Something has got to be done to address this. These days it is almost like a witch hunt,” said Mr Sporkin.

Saturday, April 22, 2006

Plugging Leaks

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

Late Friday afternoon, after the political pundits had signed off their computer for the weekend and the news cycle closed, the CIA announced the firing of a CIA officer for unauthorized contacts with the media and disclosure of classified information. According to press reports the officer in question is Mary O’Neil McCarthy.

I do not personally know Ms. McCarthy, but she was a senior analyst who had worked on the National Security Council (NSC) for five years during the Clinton years. According to the press, her last position with the CIA was in the Office of the Inspector General.

Let me offer several observations. First of all, this is unprecedented. CIA officers don’t leak because 1) it is against the ethos; 2) it means revocation of your security clearance (and job); and it likely results in complete ostracization by your former colleagues. There is another issue that may or may not loom large for Ms. McCarthy, it is illegal.

When I was on the inside, I completely avoided contact with the press. I also lived in a bubble that helped insolate me from associating with the Washington chattering class. But I was a clandestine officer. Ms. McCarthy was an overt analyst who lived in Washington and, more importantly, worked in policy circles given her stint at the NSC. She was likely a political appointee, given her long stint at the NSC.

So Ms. McCarthy had access to and was known by the chattering class. There are hundreds of intelligence community analysts that meet this description. They don’t leak. So what is the operative issue, this assuming that the allegations against Ms. McCarthy are true?

Ms. McCarthy’s last position was with the Office of the Inspector General (IG). This is the investigative and oversight arm of the CIA. When there are allegations of organizational wrongdoing, the IG—either at its own behest, at the request of the Director of Central Intelligence or from Congress—the IG does an investigation. The only way Ms. McCarthy would have had access to compartmentalized intelligence on US counterterrorism operations was if she was part of an investigating team.

The IG writes reports for D/CIA and Congressional oversight committees. Why would Ms. McCarthy feel compelled to act outside of the oversight and investigative process? The only reason I can imagine is that she took exception to a program that neither the CIA nor Congress wanted to shut down or limit: secret prisons and enforced disappearances.

As I have written in this blog, I am against leaks. There is no such thing as a good leak or a bad leak. They are all bad. When there are suddenly a ton of leaks, this is a good indicator that something is rotten in the system.

So, did Ms. McCarthy find herself in a rotting or rotten system? I suspect we will hear much more about this. The grumblings from CIA are loud and clear. My former colleagues are unhappy and many are jumping ship.

But let me add a tidbit on the secret prison front.

At the end of November 2005, I submitted a draft conference paper for the Intelligence and Ethics Conference, scheduled for lat January 2006. I provided more than the 30 days of review to the CIA Publications Review Board to ensure the conference paper contained no classified information. We are now approaching the end of April and my conference paper has yet to be cleared.

The title of my paper is, “Renditions: The Ethics and National Security Debate”. The CIA initially redacted (cut out as classified) the entire portion of the paper dealing with secret prisons. My research was conducted on the Internet drawing from open source information. My classified work never included secret prisons and in the draft conference paper I never said that there were any, but just addressed the ethical implications of the allegations.

Why is the CIA sitting on this? Because they don’t want any debate on the topic and they don’t want anybody with credibility talking about the implications of the policy, should it exist. Given the new information that Ms. McCarthy was the source of the Dana Priest's Washington Post story, I would say that she would be a rather credible source on the existence of the policy of secret detentions and enforced disappearances. I would also say that this makes my conference paper extremely relevant. This, however, will not impact in the least the clearance process at the CIA. They will continue to sit on it until either I give up or I sue.

Washington Post
CIA Officer Is Fired for Media Leaks
The Post Was Among Outlets That Gained Classified Data
By Dafna Linzer
Saturday, April 22, 2006; A01

The CIA fired a long-serving intelligence officer for sharing classified information with The Washington Post and other news organizations, officials said yesterday, as the agency continued an aggressive internal search for anyone who may have discussed intelligence with the news media.

CIA officials said the career intelligence officer failed more than one polygraph test and acknowledged unauthorized contacts with reporters. The "officer knowingly and willfully shared classified intelligence, including operational information" with journalists, the agency said in a statement yesterday.

The CIA did not reveal the identity of the employee, who was dismissed Thursday, but NBC News reported last night she is Mary McCarthy. An intelligence source confirmed that the report was accurate.

McCarthy began her career in government as an analyst at the CIA in 1984, public documents show. She served as special assistant to the president and senior director for intelligence programs at the White House during the Clinton administration and the first few months of the Bush administration. She later returned to the CIA. Attempts to reach her last night were unsuccessful.

The CIA's statement did not name the reporters it believes were involved, but several intelligence officials said The Post's Dana Priest was among them. This week, Priest won the Pulitzer Prize for beat reporting for articles about the agency, including one that revealed the existence of secret, CIA-run prisons in Eastern Europe and elsewhere.

CIA Director Porter J. Goss told the Senate intelligence committee in February that the agency was determined to get to the bottom of recent leaks, and wanted journalists brought before a federal grand jury to reveal their sources. Regarding disclosures about CIA detention and interrogation of terrorist suspects at secret sites abroad, Goss, the former chairman of the House intelligence committee, said that "the damage has been very severe to our capabilities to carry out our mission."

The CIA has filed several reports to the Justice Department since last fall regarding the publication of classified information and has launched its own internal inquiries which include administering polygraphs to dozens of employees.

The intelligence agency is sharing its findings with the Justice Department but is continuing to pursue some avenues of investigation on its own.

"It's up to the Justice Department to decide whether they want to pursue investigations separately," an intelligence source said.

The Justice Department is conducting several leak inquiries, including one into reports last December in the New York Times about a secret domestic surveillance program by the National Security Agency. Officials said it is possible the department could file criminal charges in connection with that investigation and others, but it is unclear whether the department is also investigating the disclosures about CIA-run prisons.

Justice Department spokesman Brian Roehrkasse declined to comment yesterday. "We do not confirm investigations on intelligence-related matters," he said, because of the information's sensitivity.

Intelligence officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity, said the dismissed officer identified by others as McCarthy has not been charged with any crime and is not believed to be the subject of a Justice Department investigation.

The officer's employment was terminated for violating a secrecy agreement all employees are required to sign when they join the agency. The agreement prohibits them from sharing classified information with unauthorized individuals.

The CIA said the firing was the result of an internal investigation initiated in late January of all "officers who were involved in or exposed to certain intelligence programs."

"Through the course of these investigations a CIA official acknowledged having unauthorized discussion with the media" and was terminated, the CIA statement said.
Priest, who also won the George Polk Award and a prize from the Overseas Press Club this week for her articles, declined to comment yesterday.

Post Executive Editor Leonard Downie Jr. said people who provide citizens the information they need to hold their government accountable should not "come to harm for that."

"The reporting that Dana did was very important accountability reporting about how the CIA and the rest of the U.S. government have been conducting the war on terror," Downie said. "Whether or not the actions of the CIA or other agencies have interfered with anyone's civil liberties is important information for Americans to know and is an important part of our jobs."

In an effort to stem leaks, the Bush administration launched several initiatives earlier this year targeting journalists and national security employees. They include FBI probes, extensive polygraphing inside the CIA and a warning from the Justice Department that reporters could be prosecuted under espionage laws.

The effort has been widely seen among members of the media, and some legal experts, as the most extensive and overt campaign against leaks in a generation, and has worsened the already-tense relationship between mainstream news organizations and the White House.

Dozens of employees at the CIA, the National Security Agency and other intelligence agencies have been interviewed by agents from the FBI's Washington field office. Others have been prohibited, in writing, from discussing even unclassified issues related to the domestic surveillance program. Some GOP lawmakers are also considering tougher penalties for leaking.

Pat Roberts (R-Kan.), who chairs the Senate intelligence panel, welcomed the CIA's actions. In a statement, he said leaks had "hindered our efforts in the war against al Qaeda," although he did not say how.

"I am pleased that the Central Intelligence Agency has identified the source of certain unauthorized disclosures, and I hope that the agency, and the [intelligence] community as a whole, will continue to vigorously investigate other outstanding leak cases," Roberts said.

Staff writer Spencer S. Hsu and research editor Lucy Shackelford contributed to this report.


April 23, 2006
The New York Times
Colleagues Say C.I.A. Analyst Played by Rules
By DAVID S. CLOUD
WASHINGTON, April 22 — Mary O. McCarthy, the intelligence officer dismissed on Friday after being accused of leaking information to reporters about the Central Intelligence Agency's overseas prisons, once was responsible for guarding some of the nation's most sensitive secrets.

As a senior National Security Council aide for intelligence from 1996 to 2001, Ms. McCarthy was known as a low-key professional who paid special attention to preventing White House leaks of classified information and covert operations, several current and former government officials said.

When she disagreed with decisions on intelligence operations, they say, she registered her complaints through internal government channels.

But on Thursday she was stripped of her security clearance and escorted out of C.I.A. headquarters, government officials said, after failing a polygraph examination and confessing that she had disclosed classified information to reporters, including material for The Washington Post's Pulitzer Prize-winning articles about secret C.I.A. facilities in Eastern Europe used to interrogate captured Al Qaeda members and other terror suspects.

Ms. McCarthy, who has not been charged with any crime, did not respond to telephone calls and an e-mail message. But former colleagues who worked with her at the C.I.A. and the White House say they had trouble fathoming her as a leaker. Some said they flatly refused to believe the accusations.

"We're talking about a person with great integrity who played by the book and, as far as I know, never deviated from the rules," said Steven Simon, a National Security Council aide in the Clinton administration who worked closely with Ms. McCarthy.

Others said it was possible that Ms. McCarthy, who began attending law school at night several years ago and had announced her intention to retire from the C.I.A., had grown disenchanted with the methods that the Bush administration used for handling Al Qaeda prisoners since the September 2001 terror attacks and felt she had no alternative except to go to the press.

"I have no idea what her motive was, but there is a lot of dissension within the agency and it seems to be a rather unhappy place," said Richard J. Kerr, a former C.I.A. deputy director. Mr. Kerr called Ms. McCarthy "quite a good, substantive person on the issues I dealt with her on."

She also gradually came to have one foot in the secret world of intelligence and another in the public world of policy.

She went from lower-level analyst working in obscurity at C.I.A. headquarters in Langley, Va,. to someone at home "downtown," as Washington is called by agency veterans, where policy is more openly fought over and leaks are far more common.
Though she was a C.I.A. employee for more than 20 years, associates said, her early professional experience was not in the world of spying and covert operations.

After a previous career that one former colleague said included time as a flight attendant, she earned a doctorate in history from the University of Minnesota. She worked for a Swiss company "conducting risk assessments for international businesses and banks," Ms. McCarthy wrote in a brief biography she provided to the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States, also called the 9/11 Commission. She testified before the commission in 2003. Her biography notes that she once wrote "a book on the social history of Ghana."

Even after joining the C.I.A. in 1984, Ms. McCarthy, who was hired as intelligence analyst for Africa, was far from a covert operative. In the late 1980's, she was promoted to management, taking over as chief of the Central America and Caribbean section, though she had no previous experience in the region, said a former officer who worked with her.

By 1991, she was working as deputy to one of the agency's most senior analysts, Charles E. Allen, whose job as "National Intelligence Officer for Warning" was to anticipate major national security threats. Ms. McCarthy took over the job from Mr. Allen in 1994 and moved to the Clinton White House two years later.

Rand Beers, who at the time was Mr. Clinton's senior intelligence aide on the National Security Council, said he hired Ms. McCarthy to be his deputy. "Anybody who works for Charlie Allen and then replaces him has got to be good," said Mr. Beers, who went on to serve as an adviser to the 2004 presidential campaign of Senator John Kerry, the Democratic candidate. She took over from Mr. Beers as the senior director for intelligence programs in 1998.

Though she was not among the C.I.A. officials who briefed Mr. Clinton every morning on the latest intelligence, she "worked on some of the most sensitive programs," a former White House aide said, and was responsible for notifying Congress when covert action was being undertaken.

The aide and some others who spoke about Ms. McCarthy were granted anonymity because they did not want to be identified as discussing her official duties because she be under criminal investigation.

When the Bush administration took office in 2001, Ms. McCarthy's career seemed to stall. A former Bush administration official who worked with her said that, although she was a career C.I.A. employee, as a holdover from the Clinton administration she was regarded with suspicion and was gradually eased out of her job as senior director for intelligence programs. She left several months into Mr. Bush's first term.

But she did not return immediately to a new assignment at C.I.A. headquarters. She took an extended sabbatical at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington research organization. In late 2003, she testified publicly before the 9/11 Commission about ways to reorganize the intelligence agencies to prevent another major terror attack.

She served on the Markle Foundation's "Task Force on National Security in the Information Age," a group of academics as well as current and former government officials working on recommendations for sharing classified information more widely within the government, according to a report issued by the group. The report identifies Ms. McCarthy as a "nongovernment" expert.

H. Andrew Schwartz, a spokesman for the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said that Ms. McCarthy's relationship with the organization lasted from 2001 to 2003. Several associates of Ms. McCarthy say she returned to the C.I.A. in 2004, taking a job in the inspector general's office. That year, public records show, she contributed $2,000 to Mr. Kerry's presidential campaign.

Married with one child, she also began attending law school at night, two former co-workers said, and talked about switching to a career in public interest law.

After an article last November in The Washington Post reported that the C.I.A. was sending terror suspects to clandestine detention centers in several countries, including some in Eastern Europe, Porter J. Goss, the agency's director, ordered polygraphs for intelligence officers who knew about certain "compartmented" programs, including the secret detention centers for terror suspects.

Polygraphs are given routinely to agency employees at least every five years, but special ones can be ordered when a security breach is suspected.

Government officials said that after Ms. McCarthy's polygraph examination showed the possibility of deception, the examiner confronted her and she disclosed having conversations with reporters.

But some former C.I.A. employees who know Ms. McCarthy remain unconvinced, arguing that the pressure from Mr. Goss and others in the Bush administration to plug leaks may have led the agency to focus on an employee on the verge of retirement, whose work at the White House during the Clinton administration had long raised suspicions within the current administration.

"It looks to me like Mary is being used as a sacrificial lamb," said Larry Johnson, a former C.I.A. officer who worked for Ms. McCarthy in the agency's Latin America section.

April 22, 2006
The New York Times
C.I.A. Fires Senior Officer Over Leaks
By DAVID JOHNSTON and SCOTT SHANE
WASHINGTON, April 21 — The Central Intelligence Agency has dismissed a senior career officer for disclosing classified information to reporters, including material for Pulitzer Prize-winning articles in The Washington Post about the agency's secret overseas prisons for terror suspects, intelligence officials said Friday.

The C.I.A. would not identify the officer, but several government officials said it was Mary O. McCarthy, a veteran intelligence analyst who until 2001 was senior director for intelligence programs at the National Security Council, where she served under President Bill Clinton and into the Bush administration.

At the time of her dismissal, Ms. McCarthy was working in the agency's inspector general's office, after a stint at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, an organization in Washington that examines global security issues.

The dismissal of Ms. McCarthy provided fresh evidence of the Bush administration's determined efforts to stanch leaks of classified information. The Justice Department has separately opened preliminary investigations into the disclosure of information to The Post, for its articles about secret prisons, as well as to The New York Times, for articles last fall that disclosed the existence of a program of domestic eavesdropping without warrants supervised by the National Security Agency. Those articles were also recognized this week with a Pulitzer Prize.

Several former veteran C.I.A. officials said the dismissal of an agency employee over a leak was rare and perhaps unprecedented. One official recalled the firing of a small number of agency contractors, including retirees, for leaking several years ago.

The dismissal was announced Thursday at the C.I.A. in an e-mail message sent by Porter J. Goss, the agency's director, who has made the effort to stop unauthorized disclosure of secrets a priority. News of the dismissal was first reported Friday by MSNBC.

Ms. McCarthy's departure followed an internal investigation by the C.I.A.'s Security Center, as part of an intensified effort that began in January to scrutinize employees who had access to particularly classified information. She was given a polygraph examination, confronted about answers given to the polygraph examiner and confessed, the government officials said. On Thursday, she was stripped of her security clearance and escorted out of C.I.A. headquarters. Ms. McCarthy did not reply Friday evening to messages left by e-mail and telephone.

"A C.I.A. officer has been fired for unauthorized contact with the media and for the unauthorized disclosure of classified information," said a C.I.A. spokesman, Paul Gimigliano. "This is a violation of the secrecy agreement that is the condition of employment with C.I.A. The officer has acknowledged the contact and the disclosures."
Mr. Gimigliano said the Privacy Act prohibited him from identifying the employee.

Intelligence officials speaking on the condition of anonymity said that the dismissal resulted from "a pattern of conduct" and not from a single leak, but that the case involved in part information about secret C.I.A. detention centers that was given to The Washington Post.

Ms. McCarthy's departure was another unsettling jolt for the C.I.A., battered in recent years over faulty prewar intelligence in Iraq, waves of senior echelon departures after the appointment of Mr. Goss as director and the diminished standing of the agency under the reorganization of the country's intelligence agencies.

The C.I.A.'s inquiry focused in part on identifying Ms. McCarthy's role in supplying information for a Nov. 2, 2005, article in The Post by Dana Priest, a national security reporter. The article reported that the intelligence agency was sending terror suspects to clandestine detention centers in several countries, including sites in Eastern Europe.

Leonard Downie Jr., The Post's executive editor, said on its Web site that he could not comment on the firing because he did not know the details. "As a general principle," he said, "obviously I am opposed to criminalizing the dissemination of government information to the press."

Eric C. Grant, a spokesman for the newspaper, would not address whether any C.I.A. employee was a source for the secret prison articles, but said, "No Post reporter has been subpoenaed or talked to investigators in connection with this matter."

The disclosures about the prisons provoked an outcry among European allies and set off protests among Democrats in Congress. The leak prompted the C.I.A. to send a criminal referral to the Justice Department. Lawyers at the Justice Department were notified of Ms. McCarthy's dismissal, but no new referral was issued, law enforcement officials said. They said that they would review the case, but that her termination could mean she would be spared criminal prosecution.

In January, current and former government officials said, Mr. Goss ordered polygraphs for intelligence officers who knew about certain "compartmented" programs, including the secret detention centers for terrorist suspects. Polygraphs are routinely given to agency employees at least every five years, but special polygraphs can be ordered when a security breach is suspected.

The results of such exams are regarded as important indicators of deception among some intelligence officials. But they are not admissible as evidence in court — and the C.I.A.'s reliance on the polygraph in Ms. McCarthy's case could make it more difficult for the government to prosecute her.

"This was a very aggressive internal investigation," said one former C.I.A. officer with more than 20 years' experience. "Goss was determined to find the source of the secret-jails story."

With the encouragement of the White House and some Republicans in Congress, Mr. Goss has repeatedly spoken out against leaks, saying foreign intelligence officials had asked him whether his agency was incapable of keeping secrets.

In February, Mr. Goss told the Senate Intelligence Committee that "the damage has been very severe to our capabilities to carry out our mission." He said it was his hope "that we will witness a grand jury investigation with reporters present being asked to reveal who is leaking this information."

"I believe the safety of this nation and the people of this country deserves nothing less," he said.

Ms. McCarthy has been a well-known figure in intelligence circles. She began her career at the agency as an analyst and then was a manager in the intelligence directorate, working at the African and Latin America desks, according to a biography by the strategic studies center. With an advanced degree from the University of Minnesota, she has taught, written a book on the Gold Coast and was director of the social science data archive at Yale University.

Public records show that Ms. McCarthy contributed $2,000 in 2004 to the presidential campaign of John Kerry, the Democratic nominee.

Republican lawmakers praised the C.I.A. effort. Senator Pat Roberts of Kansas, the Republican chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said, "I am pleased that the Central Intelligence Agency has identified the source of certain unauthorized disclosures, and I hope that the agency, and the community as a whole, will continue to vigorously investigate other outstanding leak cases."

Several former intelligence officials — who were granted anonymity after requesting it for what they said were obvious reasons under the circumstances — were divided over the likely effect of the dismissal on morale. One veteran said the firing would not be well-received coming so soon after the disclosure of grand jury testimony by Vice President Dick Cheney's former chief of staff that President Bush in 2003 approved the leak of portions of a secret national intelligence estimate on Iraqi weapons.

"It's a terrible situation when the president approves the leak of a highly classified N.I.E., and people at the agency see management as so disastrous that they feel compelled to talk to the press," said one former C.I.A. officer with extensive overseas experience.

But another official, whose experience was at headquarters, said most employees would approve Mr. Goss's action. "I think for the vast majority of people this will be good for morale," the official said. "People didn't like some of their colleagues deciding for themselves what secrets should be in The Washington Post or The New York Times."

Paul R. Pillar, who was the agency's senior analyst for the Middle East until he retired late last year, said: "Classified information is classified information. It's not to be leaked. It's not to be divulged." He has recently criticized the Bush administration's handling of prewar intelligence about Saddam Hussein's unconventional weapons programs.

Mark Mazzetti contributed reporting for this article.


White House
17 June 1998
BERGER APPOINTS MCCARTHY SPECIAL ASSISTANT FOR INTELLIGENCE
(And senior director on NSC Staff for intelligence programs) (370)

Washington -- National Security Advisor Samuel R. Berger announced June 16 the appointment of Mary O'Neil McCarthy as Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director for Intelligence Programs.

She succeeds Rand Beers in that post, an announcement by the office of the White House Press Secretary said.

Mary McCarthy had been Director of Intelligence Programs on the National Security Council Staff since July 1996. Previously, said the White House, Mrs. McCarthy served as the National Intelligence Officer for Warning from 1994-1996 and as the Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Warning from 1991-1994. She began government service in 1984 as an analyst in the Directorate of Intelligence of the Central Intelligence Agency.

McCarthy has a B.A. and M.A. in history from Michigan State University and an M.A and Ph.D. from the University of Minnesota.

Following is the White House text:

(begin text)

THE WHITE HOUSE
Office of the Press Secretary
June 16, 1998

STATEMENT BY THE PRESS SECRETARY

National Security Advisor Samuel R. Berger announced today the appointment of Mary O'Neil McCarthy as Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director for Intelligence Programs. Mrs. McCarthy succeeds Rand Beers.

Mary McCarthy had been Director of Intelligence Programs on the National Security Council Staff since July 1996. Previously, Mrs. McCarthy served as the National Intelligence Officer for Warning from 1994-1996 and as the Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Warning from 1991-1994. She began government service in 1984 as an analyst in the Directorate of Intelligence of the Central Intelligence Agency.

Prior to her government service, Mrs. McCarthy held positions in both the private sector and academia. She was a Director, then Vice President of BERI, SA, a firm conducting financial and political risk assessments, from 1979-1984. Previously, she had taught at the University of Minnesota and was Director of the Social Science Data
Archive at Yale University.

Mrs. McCarthy has a B.A. and M.A. in history from Michigan State University and an M.A and Ph.D. from the University of Minnesota. She and her husband Michael McCarthy have a son, Michael.

Tuesday, April 18, 2006

Commo Check

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

A friend recently pointed out that the contact link had been broken between my website and my email inbox. My webmaster has assured me that it has been fixed and I can now receive your comments, queries and criticisms. Let ‘um rip!

After a refreshing Spring holiday, I am back in Washington seeing what the April showers will bring to the world of national security and intelligence. In all reality, it is quiet here in the sense that everyone is keeping their heads down focusing on the mission. I take that as a good sign from the intelligence world. The military is a different story.

The Revolt of the Generals is like living in a world of delayed reaction. The intelligence community revolted in 2003, screaming that the intelligence on Iraq was being cooked by the politicians and the politicized intelligence community management. Now the Generals are having their say, just now piping up on just how poorly Rumsfeld has run the war, dismissing the intelligence on the existence, let alone the nature, of the insurgency. Some critics are saying that the Generals are just trying to deflect blame from the military on our losses. Maybe, but that does not change the substance of their statements, i.e. that the civilian leadership has lost its listening ears because it is too ideological and the war enterprise is in jeopardy as a consequence.

Will Rumsfeld be run out? I doubt it. President Bush is very loyal to his lieutenants. He did not get rid of DCI Tenet after 9/11. He is still sticking by CIA Director Goss. Bush has set the standard of no accountability in this administration. It is hard to imagine that he would change that now.

IC Taking a Bit More Direction

DDNI Hayden has informed us on the progress the IC is making towards integration and coordination. Walter Pincus pokes a bit of fun at the ODNI by quoting the General on just how arduous the transformation process has been. Personally, I find the honesty refreshing. What comes out from the press conference that Hayden gave is how little force is being used to marshal the IC along. I was left with the impression of “herding” rather than “directing”. Perhaps herding is all you can expect when vast resources lay outside of the DNI’s control.

Intelligence Office Gives Progress Report
By Walter Pincus
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, April 14, 2006; A11

The 16 agencies in the U.S. intelligence community are "taking a bit more direction" from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, created last year to oversee and coordinate their work, and criticism of the new agency in Congress and elsewhere is "more about velocity and not about direction," its second-in-command, Gen. Michael V. Hayden, said yesterday.

"I have confidence in this enterprise," said Hayden, the deputy director of national intelligence, who met with reporters in an unusual, on-the-record, two-hour session with eight of his senior associates to discuss the agency's first year.

After the intelligence failures over the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, and Saddam Hussein's weapons programs, Congress created the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, now held by John D. Negroponte, to be the president's principal intelligence adviser. The office was charged with supervising the intelligence budget, ensuring that agencies coordinate their activities and share information, and ensuring that reports to policymakers and Congress are objective and timely.

Although most of the reporters focused their questions on Iran's nuclear program, Hayden and his team wanted to discuss the processes they have established and to answer criticisms that the office's growing staff has become a new layer of bureaucracy that slows intelligence decision making.

Hayden said the office is coordinating the various agencies, not sending orders down. He said its role is more like that of a coach on the sidelines of a soccer game than that of a football quarterback calling the plays. But one senior intelligence official, told of Hayden's metaphor, said, "In children's soccer, all the kids run to the ball, and that's somewhat like what is still going on in the community."

Hayden and his colleagues made it clear that they believe their intelligence on Iran's nuclear program reflects the lessons learned from Iraq, including being clear about the reliability of sources and encouraging skepticism about other analysts' views.

They repeated their belief that Tehran is years away from having nuclear weapons capability and said they are awaiting confirmation of Iran's claim this week that it had successfully enriched uranium. Kenneth C. Brill, director of the new National Counterproliferation Center, a division of the intelligence office, recalled that Iran had previously claimed to have multiple centrifuges for enrichment, and "that turned out to be a Potemkin village."

Patrick F. Kennedy, the director of management for the intelligence office, said its staff will have 1,539 members next year. Almost two-thirds of the current members are from staffs that the new office absorbed, and the number of new personnel is below the 500 authorized by Congress, Kennedy said.

Many staff members will come together for the first time next week when they move into offices on the top two floors of the new Defense Intelligence Agency office building at Bolling Air Force Base.

Thomas Fingar, who directs the office's analysis activities and is chairman of the National Intelligence Council, said there is new cooperation among analysts, collectors of intelligence and the teams of experts in various agencies in handling specific issues. He did not directly answer whether an analysis had been done of the impact of a military attack on Iran's nuclear facilities.

Asked about charges that Bush and other policymakers had misused intelligence in past public statements, Fingar said the "fact-checking exercise" involved in reviewing speeches has been "ratcheted up," but "throwing raspberries" -- criticism -- after public pronouncements is "not part of the job."

The officials said the intelligence office has established a National Intelligence Priorities Framework, a three-tiered listing by importance of about 30 intelligence targets, signed by President Bush. They did not provide the classified list but conceded that the top tier includes terrorism, weapons of mass destruction, Iraq, Iran, North Korea and China.

Lt. Gen. Ronald L. Burgess Jr., the office's deputy in charge of "customer outcomes," said it was the first time a president had signed off on such a document. But several current and former senior intelligence officials said later that both the Clinton and first Bush administrations had similar prioritized lists of intelligence missions.

The officials described one previously unpublicized program that brings together the top ten or so senior science and technology experts in the bigger agencies to find ways to work on common problems. Describing efforts to break down barriers to cooperation, Eric C. Haseltine, who directs the intelligence office's science and technology section, said, "The boulder is moving."


Declassification Antics

The National Archives has admitted to a poor decision on secretly permitting the IC to withdraw declassified documents from the Archives and reclassify them. This is a step in the right direction. Now, we need to address what is driving the reclassification. The CIA opposed the mandatory classification law from the very beginning, fought in court against it and when faced with losing the case, conceded. Once the spot light was off, the CIA ran a secret op to get its way, re-classification. This is typical CIA action, fall back rather than lose a court case and set a negative precedence and then do an end run when nobody is looking. This is how the CIA treated declassification of the intelligence budget in the 1990s.

What confuses me is a statement in the below article to the effect that the CIA first tried to create archival chaos (that must have driven the librarians bonkers) by mixing up the documents so that they could not be retrieved. Why the National Archives would respond to such behavior by agreeing to secretly withdraw the information escapes me. If I were a librarian, I would just throw the offenders out of the library, not the documents.

Archives Pledges to End Secret Agreements
By Christopher Lee
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, April 18, 2006; A04

The National Archives will no longer enter into secret agreements with federal agencies that want to withdraw records from public access on Archives shelves and will do more to disclose when documents are removed for national security reasons.

The new policy cannot guarantee full disclosure, however, because in some cases federal regulations limit the Archives' ability to reveal which agency is reviewing records and why, said Susan Cooper, a spokeswoman for the Archives.

"What we're striving for is transparency here on our part," Cooper said. "We can't control the agencies."

Allen Weinstein, the archivist of the United States, announced the policy change yesterday after the release of a second secret classified memorandum, this one between the CIA and the Archives. In it Archives officials agreed in 2001 to conceal official CIA efforts to withdraw thousands of historical documents from the Archives, even though the records had been declassified.

The memo, similar to a 2002 agreement with the Air Force, spelled out procedures the CIA and Archives staff would follow in withdrawing records that the CIA believed may have been improperly declassified. In a background paper yesterday, Archives officials said they sought that agreement because a CIA and State Department review of 56 boxes in 1999 "resulted in a significant mishandling of the records, such that the order of the documents in many boxes was lost."

In return for stricter handling, however, the Archives agreed to help the CIA and the Air Force keep the public in the dark. That was a mistake, said Weinstein, who became the archivist in 2005.

"Classified agreements are the antithesis of our reason for being," he said in a written statement yesterday. ". . . If records must be removed for reasons of national security, the American people will always, at the very least, know when it occurs and how many records are affected."

Independent historian Matthew M. Aid uncovered the reclassification program last summer when his requests for formerly available documents were delayed or denied. In February, the Archives acknowledged that about 9,500 records totaling more than 55,000 pages had been withdrawn and reclassified as secret since 1999.

The program dates to the Clinton administration, when the CIA and other agencies began recalling documents they believed were improperly released under a 1995 executive order requiring declassification of many historical records at least 25 years old. The pace of removals picked up after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.

Last month Weinstein imposed a moratorium on withdrawing documents until Archives officials complete an audit of the removed material. Results are expected April 26.

One possible change, Cooper said, is a central tracking system that would include more detailed notices in the Archives files to indicate whether a document had been removed for national security reasons. But the executive order governing the review of such documents permits agencies to conceal their identities without the Archives' consent if revealing them could pose a threat to national security, she said.

"There is some wiggle room for us here, but not a lot," she said.

Nevertheless, the Archives' decision to shun secret agreements is a step forward, said Thomas S. Blanton, executive director of the National Security Archive, a nonprofit research library in Washington. "For the National Archives to go into cahoots with the CIA and Air Force to mislead researchers about what was going on was over the top, and a strong signal of a secrecy system that is genuinely broken," he said.

Monday, April 03, 2006

Speaking Out and Up

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

CIA Deputy Director for Intelligence (DDI) John Kringen is on a public outreach mission. He has been speaking around town and in the hinterland sending the message that his shop at the CIA is changing, for the better. He is addressing head on the charge that the CIA is not responding to the recommendations of the various investigative reports recommending specific changes.

It is interesting that DDI Kringen feels a need to do outreach via an op-ed in the Washington Post. It shows that the CIA “gets it”, meaning that public confidence in intelligence capabilities cannot be restored through the more traditional methods. Historically, the CIA either ignored the issue or assured Congress in the annual threat briefing that the CIA had it covered. Note how former DCI Tenet treated 9/11 in the couple years that followed. He assured Congress that drastic changes had been made and the CIA was on the right course. His statements sounded hollow once the Iraq WMD mess broke and the investigative report showed just how little had changed.

This begs the question on whether Kringen is spinning or testifying to real progress. I actually think it is the latter. My analyst friends, although they have many gripes, tell me that they system is going through a period of dynamic change. Living through reform is hard, but at the end of the day, if done right, it is worth the pain. What Kringen needs to do better is to ease the pain and chaos a bit. Retention is a problem.

The CIA is not healthy. It suffers from poor leadership, poor performance and poor morale. Turning around such a big ship requires a dramatic change in environment. Goss has not been able to do that as he is viewed as isolated on the Seventh Floor. The outside world sees the weakness in variety of indirect ways, from the bog-down in Iraq to the endless hunt for Osama. It doesn’t see the CIA’s successes, of which there are many. The CIA needs to project these successes, in an indirect way if security will not permit otherwise. Kringen’s outreach doesn’t hurt but will not gain much traction in the absence of more tangible signs of success.

Washington Post
How We've Improved Intelligence
Minimizing the Risk of 'Groupthink'
By John A. Kringen

Nearly one year ago, President Bush's commission on weapons of mass destruction released its report identifying shortcomings in the intelligence community. Many of the commission's judgments dealt with analysis, the discipline I lead at the CIA. The primary criticism was that our analysts were "too wedded to their assumptions" and that our tradecraft -- the way we analyze a subject and communicate our findings -- needed strengthening.

We did not try to hide from the criticism or make excuses. Our assessment of Saddam Hussein's WMD capabilities was flawed. The fact that foreign intelligence services made similar errors in no way absolved us of ours.

We in the Directorate of Intelligence (DI) have been intent on improving our work by addressing the commission's recommendations -- and those of several other self-initiated and external reviews -- head-on. We have taken many steps in the past year to assure the president, Congress and the American people that they can be confident in the integrity of our assessments.

CIA Director Porter Goss has encouraged innovation and creativity in how the CIA approaches its mission. In the DI, we have been diligent in integrating fresh thinking and new perspectives into our analysis. Our in-house training center, the Sherman Kent School, features lessons learned from the Iraq WMD case; they are part of tradecraft courses taken by our analysts, including every recruit entering the DI. Our newest analysts -- and all first-line supervisors -- also have completed classes on alternative analysis and other analytic techniques.

We have established analytic tradecraft units across the directorate, including the office drafting our WMD assessments, that promote the use of alternative and competitive analysis techniques. DI analysts routinely engage academics and outside experts -- last year we did so about 100 times a month at conferences or informal meetings -- to test hypotheses and minimize the potential for being ensnared by "groupthink." And we have a staff that routinely evaluates the quality of our assessments.

We have enhanced the precision and transparency of our written products, making a point of stating clearly and upfront what we know -- and what we don't. Our analysts now offer policymakers greater context on sourcing, including an intelligence asset's access and biases, thanks to increased information-sharing between the DI and the National Clandestine Service. A computerized system for identifying recalled or modified raw intelligence reports alerts analysts to sources whose information is determined to be faulty.

When Porter Goss selected me as director of intelligence, he expressed his concern that for too long we had concentrated on satisfying the daily demand for current intelligence assessments to the detriment of preparing for the strategic threats and opportunities of tomorrow. What are the implications of rapid advances in technology for U.S. national security? What are the challenges and opportunities posed by Islamic political activism in the Middle East and South Asia? Is there another A.Q. Khan proliferation network out there?

The DI's strategic research program for fiscal 2006 focuses on identifying and assessing long-term trends and emerging foreign threats that go beyond today's headlines. DI analysts also participate heavily in long-term analytic projects led by our colleagues in the intelligence community, especially the National Intelligence Council. The benefit is clear: Our policymakers will have a better idea of what might lie over the horizon.

Even as we strengthen our strategic analytical capabilities, we continue to be the principal source for current intelligence analysis that the director of national intelligence provides to our most senior policymakers. Not only are we helping to staff important DNI components, but DI analysts are also in demand throughout the intelligence community.

The DI is building bench strength with highly qualified recruits to meet the demands of strategic global coverage. We brought in more new analysts in fiscal 2005 than in any year in our history, breaking our previous record by more than 50 percent. More important than the numbers, however, are the education and life experiences our employees bring to the job. Half of our applicants in process claim fluent-to-native capacity in a foreign language, and many have spent significant time in their region of specialty.

Above all, we seek to foster in each analyst a sense of individual initiative, responsibility and ownership, as well as the recognition that providing analysis vital to our national security requires challenging orthodoxy and constantly testing our assumptions. Mastering the fundamentals of tradecraft and building expertise are critical, but we also must aspire to a level of creativity and insight that allows us to look beyond the obvious and flag the unexpected. Only then can we truly fulfill our obligation to help protect the American people.

The writer is director of intelligence at the Central Intelligence Agency.

Outside Voices

How meaningful is the CIA’s new-found desire to listen to outside voices? Walter Pincus writes in the Washington Post that the CIA is listening to Judge Richard Posner and his critic of intelligence reform. I would have been more impressed if the audience was an off-site meeting for senior leadership of CIA. Instead, it was to the Office of General Council—the CIA lawyers that actually practice law.

While I have not yet read Judge Posner’s new book, I have read his earlier writings. Posner accurately framed the issue on reform as risking a mere movement of the deck chairs. In some ways, his warnings have proved to be prescient. The Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) has turned into another layer of bureaucracy without the desired added value. I, however, do not think it is without merit. The ODNI is re-working the processes by which the intelligence community (IC) functions. This is very important because the IC cannot be transformed without fundamental changes in process from the very bottom of the structure. The problem is the ODNI has bit off more than it can chew at a reasonable rate. To outside observers, it looks like the only thing Negroponte is doing is delivering the President is morning brief. This looks bad and is bad.

If we think about how the debate unfolded on the power of the DNI, we can see that the focus was on the wrong set of issues. It was argued that for the DNI to be empowered, he had to be seen as the premier intel officer that could speak for the IC to the President. In the old structure, that was defined by physical access to the President and the one thing the DCI did every day that gave him physical access was the President’s Daily Brief (PDB). So the reformers focused on who was going to be given the authority over the PDB as the issue to define the new power structure.

The results were disempowerment of the position of the DCI, but not empowerment of the DNI. If you tease these developments out a bit, you will find that the PDB actually had a spurious relationship with the power equation. The DNI needs to be a CEO. He does not need to centralize every activity in his office suite. He does need to have firm control over the reins. If the production line is putting out faulty products, he has to be able to reach down to production management and direct change. He does not relocate his office to the factory or vice a versa. Agents of change cannot be located exclusively in the CEO suite, but must be distributed throughout the organizations earmarked for change. Finally, in the business world, a CEO would never try to change an entire enterprise in one fell swoop. There would be a business plan with bench marks so the employees could see where they fit in the transformation process. There will always be uncertainty, but at a minimum the framework would be understood. Right now, the framework, or vision, is missing.

Intelligence Redo Is Harshly Judged
A Judge Critiques 9/11 Overhaul, and Finds It Top-Heavy
By Walter Pincus
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, March 31, 2006; A17

U.S. Court of Appeals Judge Richard A. Posner sharply criticized the restructuring of U.S. intelligence agencies last week, telling CIA lawyers that the overhaul has done nothing to rectify flaws exposed by al-Qaeda's Sept. 11, 2001, attacks and that the changes "in the end . . . will amount to rather little."

Posner, who has written extensively on intelligence matters, questioned "the wisdom and consequences" of the intelligence overhaul passed by Congress in December 2004, which he said was based on "a deep misunderstanding of the limitations of national security intelligence."

That misunderstanding, Posner said, came from a naive belief that intelligence agencies can somehow be made infallible. "Failure in a democratic society," he said, "demands a response that promises, however improbably, to prevent future failures. [And] the preferred response is a reorganization, because it is at once dramatic and relatively cheap."

Posner made his remarks last Friday at an off-site conference of the CIA's office of general counsel, and a revised text was made available to The Washington Post.

CIA spokesman Paul Gimigliano said yesterday that the judge was invited because he is a well-known writer on intelligence issues and that "the CIA believes its officers should hear a range of informed opinion on issues affecting their work."

Posner has a book being published next week, "Uncertain Shield: The U.S. Intelligence System in the Throes of Reform." His book "Preventing Surprise Attacks: Intelligence Reform in the Wake of 9/11" was published last spring.

In Posner's analysis, the director of national intelligence (DNI), created by Congress to be the president's top intelligence adviser, was given too much to do. DNI John D. Negroponte oversees the CIA and 15 other intelligence agencies, including those at the Pentagon. Negroponte's staff, which has grown to about 1,000, "has become a new bureaucracy layered on top of the intelligence community," Posner said.

In the process, he said, the DNI's office has absorbed "many of the responsibilities of the CIA and demoted the agency to little more than a spy service." He points out that Negroponte runs the National Counterterrorism Center, which used to be part of the CIA. The agency also prepared the President's Daily Brief, the most sensitive intelligence delivered to President Bush and his top national security team each morning, but that now is prepared by the DNI.

At the same time, the DNI has floundered in its task of coordinating the agencies within the intelligence community, according to Posner, in part because of "three distinct and largely incompatible intelligence cultures that are poorly balanced: military intelligence, civilian intelligence and criminal investigation intelligence."

The military culture, with its "up-and-out promotions system . . . discipline and strong mission orientation," views the CIA with "a degree of hostility and disdain, which the agency reciprocates," Posner said. In addition, CIA and Pentagon intelligence officers compete in strategic intelligence work, a situation aggravated by the fact that the military operates the spy satellite agencies, whose capabilities it often does not wish to share.

Meanwhile, the FBI culture, focused in the past on catching criminals, is having problems with intelligence gathering because, as Posner put it, "the aim is to prevent the crime, not punish the criminals." Counterterrorist intelligence, he said, requires "casting a very wide net, following up on clues, assembling bits of information, and often failing because there is as yet no crime."

Complicating these differences, he noted, was the "profound political imbalance" extant among the three intelligence cultures. The military "is immensely popular, immensely powerful politically" and "ambitious to expand its intelligence activities under the forceful leadership of Secretary [Donald H.] Rumsfeld and Under Secretary for Intelligence [Stephen A.] Cambone." Posner added that for "all these reasons" Pentagon intelligence is "out of the practical control of the DNI."

He said the FBI "is also immensely popular . . . and politically powerful . . . and stubbornly resistant to change." The CIA was left, Posner said, "in a situation of considerable vulnerability, as an unpopular agency and therefore a natural scapegoat" for intelligence failures of Sept. 11 and prewar Iraq.

Posner said that the DNI should have been given only a coordinating role in U.S. intelligence, and that the CIA director, now Porter J. Goss, should have remained the president's senior intelligence adviser. That approach would have eliminated the requirement that the DNI's office build its own bureaucracy of analysts, he said.

Wednesday, March 29, 2006

Random Thoughts

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

Sometimes I am amazed by what I read in the newspapers. It makes me return to the question of what is a secret.

Shame on You, Walter Pincus

In my book, the names of spies, former, current and in train, are secret. If we can’t keep the names of those working for us out of the public domain, what incentive is there for that potential spy to cross the line, risk his or her life, and tell the CIA or any other US intelligence agency, “I want to cooperate with you.”? This article by Walter Pincus falls in the irresponsible category by printing the Iraqi’s name. The defense is that “Johnny did it too” does not cut it any more in the nation’s capital than in the elementary school principal’s office.

Ex-Iraqi Official Unveiled as Spy
Former Envoy Worked With French, CIA
By Walter Pincus
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, March 23, 2006; A17

Deposed Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein's last foreign minister, Naji Sabri, was a paid spy for French intelligence, which later turned him over to the CIA to supply information about Iraq and its chemical, biological and nuclear weapons programs more than six months before the war began in March 2003, according to former senior intelligence officials.

Although some CIA officials met informally with Sabri, who traveled extensively outside Iraq, the French and the CIA used a third-country intermediary when attempting to get information from him about Hussein's inner circle and weapons programs, according to the retired officials who refused to be identified because the information is classified.

"It was never clear what he wanted," one former official familiar with the situation said of Sabri, "but we never paid him." Sabri's role in providing information to the United States was reported by NBC News on Tuesday.

Over the summer of 2002, Sabri, as foreign minister, negotiated the terms U.N. inspectors' return to Iraq, and in November 2002 he announced Hussein's acceptance of the proposal.

Publicly Sabri was insisting that Iraq had no prohibited weapons of mass destruction. Privately, the sources said, he provided information that the Iraqi dictator had ambitions for a nuclear program but that it was not active, and that no biological weapons were being produced or stockpiled, although research was underway.

When it came to chemical weapons, Sabri told his handler that some existed but they were not under military control, a former intelligence official familiar with the situation said. Another former official added: "He said he had been told Hussein had them dispersed among some of the loyal tribes."

At the time, the Bush administration was preparing for the coalition's invasion of Iraq and publicly insisting that Hussein had reconstituted nuclear programs and was concealing from United Nations inspectors both chemical and biological weapons in violation of Security Council resolutions. The White House, which was seeking a congressional resolution that would permit the use of force against Iraq, hoped Sabri would defect, the two former officials said.

"They wanted a big public defection, which would have been good for the policy," one official said. But Sabri comes from a prominent Iraqi family and defection was not an option, one of the former officials said.

The White House was far more interested in trying to get Sabri to defect than in the information he was providing on Iraq's weapons programs, in part because the intelligence community did not trust him, another former intelligence official said.

Sabri took office in fall 2001 after a major housecleaning of Hussein's foreign affairs team. A diplomat with an Iraqi Christian background, Sabri once taught English literature at Baghdad University and was director general of the information ministry during the Persian Gulf War. His brother was one of the Iraqi officials that Hussein had killed because of alleged disloyalty.

Sabri was described as "smart and smooth" by a U.N. official who dealt with him, and as "a type that appeals to Westerners." According to a former intelligence officer, Sabri went out of his way to spend time with Americans and others when he was a diplomatic official in Vienna.

In a speech in February 2004, then-CIA Director George J. Tenet referred to Sabri, although not by name, when he said the CIA had obtained information from "a source who had direct access to Saddam and his inner circle." Tenet said that source described Hussein as covertly seeking to get a nuclear weapon and having stockpiled chemical weapons while his scientists were only "dabbling" with biological weapons development with little success.

Misplaced Priorities

I wish I could just be upset by the printing of spy’s name. The entire story is disturbing because it shows just how rotten the politicized world of espionage had gotten under former DCI Tenet. Here we had the chance to run a spy inside the inner circle of Saddam Hussein and collect leadership intelligence. It just does not get any better than this in the intel world. Sure, there must have been questions on his reliability. THERE ALWAYS ARE!

Instead of doing the meat and potato work of putting together careful debriefing sessions and vetting the intelligence take careful, we went for the political big-play, defection. Surprise, the guy refused because all of his extended family would be instantly dead. I am sure the CI folks were whispering, “Oh he won’t defect. He must not be for real.” This is what the CI folks always whisper because they are paid to be paranoid. The bottom line is the CI folks have absolutely no feel for the agent’s reality—the potential death of absolutely everyone in his family. CI folks are always lost in the wilderness of mirrors.

In comparison, the political optics of a big-name defection—even though the guy was saying things that didn’t jive with Washington’s line—would have been a propaganda coup and a lot less complicated. In the name of security, defectors can be kept under close wraps so he would not be able to actually publicize what he is telling his debriefers. Why run a spy, which is the hard part of espionage, when you can have a parade animal?

This is embarrassingly poor tradecraft. And now the guy’s name is all over the media. Iraqis have a tendency to play for keeps. This is one for the instructional books at the Farm. Unfortunately, however, there are no books that contain missions blown because of the CIA culture that failure is not an option and if it does happen, it is covered up.

Outsourcing Intelligence

It seems that the powers that be might be waking up to the costs of outsourcing intelligence work. The contracting world in intelligence has exploded since 9/11. I wrote about this in my book Denial and Deception, which came out in 2004. There was absolutely commentary on this subject. In 2004, it just was not relevant.

What is going on? Seasoned officers are opting to walk away from their careers as staff officers in exchange for flexible schedules, higher income and more freedom on selecting assignments. This is a win scenario for the intelligence professional. It is a lose scenario for the intelligence community because it is not adjusting by creating an open labor market in the profession. Security clearance are hard to come by (and take forever to get for a contractor) so that it becomes a contractors market. Market balance can only be established if the labor flow is increased by creating channels for entry for professionals with knowledge and/or experience, but lacking the clearance.

The employer has to pay more for labor, but actually gets less. Institutional loyalty and knowledge is lost. This is telling situation because it is happening while the IC bemoans the lack of experience officers with time on target.

Increase in Contracting Intelligence Jobs Raises Concerns
By Walter Pincus
Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, March 20, 2006; A03

AllWorld Language Consultants Inc., a Rockville firm, is seeking experienced military interrogators to work in Iraq for $153,500 a year plus bonuses, with proficiency in Arabic "preferred but not required," according to Yahoo's Hot Jobs listings.

The U.S. Army element of the Multi-National Force-Iraq is looking for a private contractor to provide airborne surveillance over that country that will "provide situational awareness of the entire area of operations," according to another Web announcement.

Lockheed Martin Corp. is seeking a counterintelligence analyst to work for the Pentagon's newest intelligence agency, the Counterintelligence Field Activity (CIFA), in its Colorado Springs facility to "create and deliver briefings, write reports, and represent Counterintelligence Field Activity," according to a Web classified ad.

These positions and thousands like them are part of a growing trend at the Pentagon to contract out intelligence jobs that were formerly done primarily by service personnel and civil service employees.

But, by using contract employees, government agencies lose control over those doing this sensitive work and an element of profit is inserted into what is being done. Also, as investigations have revealed, politics and corruption may be introduced into the process.

The office of Director of National Intelligence John D. Negroponte has quietly begun to study the contracting issue because "it already is a problem," a senior intelligence official said in a recent interview.

A related concern for intelligence agencies inside and outside the Pentagon is that the government is training people and getting them security clearances, but they then leave for better pay offered by contractors, sometimes to do the same work.

"Once cleared, they can get a higher salary outside and they are gone," the official said. "We're leasing back our former employees."

The phenomenon is partly the result of Congress's approving large funding increases for intelligence activities but not increasing the limit on the number of full-time persons that agencies can hire. "We don't have the billets," the official said, so the surge is taken care of by contracting out the jobs.

Retired Maj. Gen. Paul D. Eaton, who ran Iraqi military training from 2003 to 2004, describes the hiring of civilians to do jobs previously done by the military as a "shell game" created by Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld to keep the "force strength static on paper." In an op-ed piece in yesterday's New York Times, Eaton wrote, "This tactic may help for a bit, but it will likely fall apart in the next budget cycle with those positions swiftly eliminated."

"The Pentagon ramped up so fast, it had to turn to contract personnel to have continuity," said another former senior intelligence official who now does contract work. He pointed out that some jobs are so complex, military personnel on three-year rotations are facing reassignment just as they master their jobs.

The trend toward contracting for intelligence analysts will hurt the ability of the CIA and the Defense Intelligence Agency to retain and keep high-quality people, said a former senior intelligence official who helped supervise the rebuilding of the CIA's case officer and analyst corps. "It takes time to get the young up to snuff, and you need 10 to 20 years to get the value for that investment," this former official said, asking for anonymity because of his past role in government.

John O. Brennan, the longtime CIA official who started up and headed the National Counterterrorism Center before his retirement, said contract personnel "bring on recognized expertise that exists outside government" and "often are needed as new [intelligence] systems are being built."

Now a contractor himself, Brennan said it should come as no surprise that many younger military and government-trained intelligence personnel, who have top security clearances, are resigning to take jobs in the private sector.

The CIA's contracting has generally been limited to technical support, but almost two years ago a "spy drain" was described in a column by intelligence expert James Bamford, who warned, "Private contractors are taking over jobs once reserved for highly trained agency employees." Because of the rush to expand activities, Bamford said some newly hired former CIA officers said that "their talents are being wasted on unsophisticated tasks."

Attention has also been focused on the rapid growth of Pentagon intelligence contracting because of recent guilty pleas by former representative Randy "Duke" Cunningham (R-Calif.) and contractor Mitchell J. Wade, who used contributions and job offers to get his former company, MZM Inc., more than $100 million in mostly intelligence contracts between 2002 and 2004. In one case, according to court papers, Wade drafted and gave Cunningham an outline of the work that CIFA then contracted with MZM to perform.

Federal investigators are reviewing CIFA's contracts, according to a government prosecutor involved in the inquiry. CIFA Director David A. Burtt II said in a recent interview that 70 percent of his agency's work is handled by contractors.

Brennan said that contract employees frequently cost less for government agencies when they are needed for short durations while new agencies get fully staffed. Thereafter, higher pay given to contract employees over government employees can be justified only in part because contractors offer less job security than the government does.

Brennan said he introduced a rule at the National Counterterrorism Center that personnel cannot resign and return to do the same job with a contractor until a certain amount of time had elapsed.

The contracting for intelligence personnel is "neither black nor white," according to Brennan, but it "needs to be watched."

The Arabic-speaking interrogators that AllWorld Languages is seeking must be U.S. citizens, have security clearances, and be willing to start immediately and deploy to any city in Iraq. AllWorld is a subcontractor of L-3 Communications Holdings Inc., a multibillion-dollar defense contractor that recently got a six-month, $420 million extension to its no-bid Army contract for translators. About 80 percent of the 5,000 translators L-3 employs for the Army are working in Iraq.

William Golden, who runs IntelligenceCareers Inc., maintains a Web site listing thousands of jobs, including senior posts within the intelligence community. In a slide presentation on his site, Golden points out that as the number of contract positions in the intelligence field increases, the number of candidates for such jobs decreases -- in part because the number of people leaving military and government service in the intelligence field is less than the number of jobs being opened up to contract employees.

In a recent presentation, Golden said 65 to 70 percent of new contract employees who took contract jobs after they left government with security clearances came from the military. Less than 15 percent earned their clearances while working for contractors. One reason for the difference is that it takes a year or more to get a top-secret clearance; meanwhile, an employee is waiting to be hired or is hired and doing a non-cleared job. Those who had clearances just need to have them updated, which takes far less time.

As a result, someone with a top secret and special compartmented information clearance, meaning access to electronic intercepted data, can get as much as 35 percent more pay than others with lesser clearances or no clearances, according to Golden. Brennan, who now runs his own intelligence consulting concern, the Analysis Corp., agreed that "a security clearance in the Washington area means money."

Sunday, March 19, 2006

The Analytical Challenge

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

Several days ago I attended a luncheon hosted by the Association of Former Intelligence Officers at which Central Intelligence Agency Deputy Director of Intelligence (DDI) John Kringen spoke. I was struck by the lack of dynamism Dr. Kringen emoted. It could be that public speaking is just not his thing. I hope it is not an indication of where the DI is these days.

In his prepared remarks, Kringen spoke about the challenges to analysts today: the push for actionable intelligence, the information explosion, personnel problems, and poisoning impact of partisan politics on intelligence. These are all challenges, appropriate to mention, but are they the big issues that the individual analyst must face? They are certainly management problems. But what does the GS 13 analyst worry about?

First of all, there probably are only a handful of GS 13 analysts—meaning mid-level careerists—since the CIA got out of the hiring business in the 1990s. Analysts, according to Kringen, have an average of 3.5 years of experience. So the mid-level analyst probably devotes a disproportionate part of his or her day mentoring new analysts. This is a good thing for the new analyst, but hard on the mid-level analyst who probably wants to do some deep thinking about his or her accounts.

Secondly, 9/11 and the Iraqi WMD lesson learned (there is an assumption here) is that analysts must deeply and broadly know their issue. This means that analysts must work the same account for years to gain the texture that only experience provides. While GS 13 analysts are told they must become true experts, they live in an organizational environment of upheaval. Bureaucratic structures are changing in response to intelligence failures, the committee review structure that selected out creativity is being dismantled, alternative analysis groups are being put together in each component, and the entire organization is under threat of being moved out of the CIA and placed in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence.

Okay, there are not enough of them, there are not enough hours in a day and they live in chaos…what else? Tools. In terms of technology, they live in the Dinosaur Age! I remember when I started at the CIA in 1988. At home I had an IBM computer working from DOS and big floppy disks. It had the processing speed of a snail. At work I had access to a Wang (not one on my desk—that was accessorized with a typewriter). The Wang made my IBM look like a Cray. When I left the CIA, technology had improved but not by much. I had no access to unclassified information at work—the internet and email was considered hostile. PDAs were banned from Langley because of the security threat they posed. CIA-proprietary search engines (which started off more advance than commercial ones) were so slow and inflexible that they were more of a burden. The problem is not that technology has yet to be invented that will be useful in the intelligence world. The problem is that “security requirements” make it so difficult to piggy-back on commercial technology. The CIA still looks at technology through a fear optic. So our GS 13 is in a constant battle with his or her computer to get it to retrieve the information needed in a timely and dependable way.

CIA analysts conduct “all source” analysis. This means that technically the analysts should be able to look at all intelligence produced by the intel community and the open source information as well. Analysts reach across organizational lines remains limited outside the counterterrorism area. The analyst working Russia, for example, has not more access to FBI reports today than five years ago (and I hasten to add that FBI agents have no more access to FBI reports than five years ago given their continuing failure to fix their information management systems.) The final coup de grace: they still don’t have routine access to all CIA intelligence. The super secret HUMINT intelligence remains compartmentalized to a hand-select few because the HUMINT folks still live in the mentality of the Cold War (beware: the enemy has penetrated us!).

The politicization that Dr. Kringen mentioned is one challenge the individual analyst must face with trepidation. The realities are messengers of bad news get shot all the time. My heart goes out to the analysts working the Middle East. There are not a lot of good trends to analyze. For the intellectually honest, unbiased analyst, writing assessments on Iraq must be tough because the war is not going the direction of the political spin. It makes me think about how the mid-level analyst survived during the Vietnam War when the circumstances were similar. The big difference, in my view, was CIA senior leadership. The DCI and DDI stood up for the analytical judgments even though the White House and the civilian leadership at the Pentagon disagreed with them. The lesson from this is politicians will act as political animals—expect it. CIA management should not.

I think we should really appreciate that fact that we have smart analysts working in the intelligence community, new hires and experienced career officers. Expectations are steep; failure is not an option. I just hope that creative minds are at work in CIA management to help them realize their full potential and overcome these daunting challenges.

Tuesday, March 14, 2006

The March towards War?

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

I’m having that “déjà vu” sense. It hit me last week twice, first while attending the AIPAC Annual Policy Conference and then when listening to former National Intelligence Officer (NIO) Paul Pillar talk about Iraq at the Middle East Institute. I hear the drum beats of war and a sense another intel/policymaker collision. The topic this time is Iran.

In the last month, the US has changed its posture towards Iran. The policy of subcontracting out to the Europeans is over—principally because they have failed to reach a negotiated agreement with Iran to roll back its nuclear program. The US will now lead the assault, first through the UN Security Council and then through a coalition of allies—assuming Russia and China will not cooperate on a UN-backed sanctions regime. If Europe goes wobbly, the US will go at it alone.

What’s making me uncomfortable? Similarities to how the Iraq war unfolded.

Sudden Urgency

After a decade of containment, the US decided the Iraqi WMD required urgent attention and as a consequence regime change had to be the policy. Overnight, the intelligence community changed its assessment that Iraq was years away from a nuclear weapons capability to being on the threshold.

The US has been trying to contain Iran since 1979 and has more recently been worried about a clandestine nuclear weapons program. The intelligence community (IC) until last year assessed the Iranians were between 5 to 10 years away. Suddenly, we are talking about Iran approaching the tipping point, the point of no return. The Israelis are strongly pushing for increased urgency. AIPAC is firmly behind, illustrated by the lobbying group’s decision to put stopping Iran at the top of its lobbying agenda. The message is to stop Iran now before it crosses the threshold.

Intelligence Basis

The cause for war in Iraq was based on intelligence—bad intelligence on WMD as it turned out. The intelligence basis on Iraq was very poor since the US did not have a presence in Iraq for a number of years. Once the IAEA inspectors were thrown out, even this limited window closed. It was considered a hard target, meaning the IC was having a hard time getting good intel. It turned out that the opposition group, the Iraqi National Congress (INC), was feeding a bunch of bad intel to the Pentagon through defectors in order to influence the US to go to war. The Iraqi WMD report did a good job highlighting the IC’s difficulty in dealing with Iraq. There was disagreement with the IC on the Iraqi program, but these disagreements were glossed over in order to make a more compelling case for war.

Iran is also a hard target. The US government as not had diplomatic feet on the ground since 1979. The IC has been trying to put together a complete picture of the Iranian nuclear program. In the press, the breaks appear to be associated with information provided by the MEK (an anti-Iranian group that is on the US terrorism list) who have identified secret Iranian nuclear sites. Relying on information from another interest group of questionable credibility to make the case on WMD is disturbing, to say the least.

Democracy Agenda

Removing Saddam Hussein and creating a democracy that would be more closely aligned to US interests was a goal of the Bush Administration. The Administration believed democracy in Iraq would have a domino effect on the entire region, transforming it from a place that breeds terrorism to one that is integrated into the Community of Democracies and the global economy. According to Pillar, the Administration dismissed the IC’s warnings that setting up a functioning democracy in Iraq would be very challenging given the absence of a tradition of sharing power, the ethnic and religious divides and Kurdish separatist aspirations.

The Administration instead listened to the INC who said the Iraqi people would welcome the US military with open arms. The ongoing insurgency and the difficulty in getting all three Iraqi groups to agree to new rules of the political game demonstrate that the IC called this one correctly. Increasingly, we are talking about Iraq slipping into civil war—with the current inability to form a government being seen as the trip wire. According to Pillar, the IC rejected the idea that Iraq could be a domino, assessing instead that liberalization and democracy reform would be driven by domestic factors in each state in the region. Iran was the exception, according to Pillar, where it was thought that Iranians might view a democratic Iraq under Shiite control as something they could have instead of the Mullahs.

The regime change policy towards Iran has gained the ascendancy in Washington lately. President Bush said in a recent speech that “freedom in the Middle East requires freedom for the Iranian people”. This statement shows how far the Administration has come; when the Broader Middle East Reform Agenda was first put together, Iran was excluded. The US is now reaching out more aggressively to the Iranian people through increased funding ($75 million) to media operations and cultural exchange programs.

What is the IC telling the Administration on Iranian ripeness for regime change? Iranians want to make their own decisions and don’t want foreign interference. While the upwardly mobile and the urban youth don’t like their government, the power centers in Iran remain loyal to the system. Iran is not ripe for a revolution and attempts to “help create the conditions” will be rejected by strong nationalism. The Administration should also be mindful that Iran is not monolithic; there are strong ethnic divisions and if the central authority should weaken, these historical divisions will re-emerge.

Terrorism

The Administration engaged in the war in Iraq as part of the Global War on Terrorism (GWOT), despite the fact that the Iraqi regime played no role in the 9/11 attacks, nor did it provide support to al-Qa’ida. The Atta-Iraqi intel connection was fiction. Certainly, Iraq under Saddam did support groups using terror tactics against Israeli occupation. Saddam also gave sanctuary to anti-Iranian terror groups such as the MEK and Ansar al-Islam. The Iraq war has evolved into a magnet for al-Qa’ida terrorists, drawing in the international set of Sunni jihadis and converting Iraqi nationalists to the jihadi cause. It is Afghanistan of the 2000s—providing a training ground, networking environment and inspiration for a new generation of jihadis.

Iran also played no role in the 9/11 attacks and has not been cooperative in the GWOT post 9/11. Iran is a state sponsor of terrorism—but of the Shia variety. Iran has been implicated in a number of terrorist attacks—the 1996 Khobar bombing just to name one. Rice, in testifying before the Senate Appropriations Committee, called Iran the central banker of terrorists. Will a military attack against Iran strike a lethal blow against al-Qa’ida? No. Will it end or reduce Shia terrorism? Perhaps, or it could increase it by motivating retaliatory attacks in Iraq or elsewhere.

War versus Strike

None of the above comments is meant to argue for or against using the military option against Iran. The purpose is to emphasize that we are talking about a war, not merely a strike. When considering this war, we should think more about how it will unfold and not put on the rose-colored glasses that we wore in the run up to the Iraq war.

This is where the intelligence issue comes in. As Pillar aptly described in his Foreign Affairs article, the intel/policymaker relationship is broken. In an atmosphere of distrust, will the Administration accept the IC assessments at face value? Or will the White House pick and choose the factoids it likes? Will the IC fail to speak truth to power in order to protect their jobs? Will Congress play partisan politics or do its job as a co-equal branch of the US government by asking the hard questions? Will we have a repeat of Iraq or will we demonstrate that we have learned some lessons?

If we opt for war, we must do it knowledgably: it will be long; there will be heavy costs in terms of blood and treasure; it could completely destabilize the Middle East and open a new chapter of the jihadi war. It could also in the long term completely change the balance of power in the region, unseating state sponsors of terrorism and their proxy groups, including Syria and Hizballah, and deny a regional power nuclear weapons. It should be up to the American people to do the cost-benefit analysis.

Tuesday, February 28, 2006

The Pillar Effect

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

Former National Intelligence Officer Paul Pillar has really stirred the pot. After retiring from the CIA, he has entered academia and public life. He is contributing his vast knowledge and experience to educating the next generation of Americans. For some, Pillar has committed an inexcusable crime of breach of client confidence—the President in this case. I think this debate cuts at the core of what is wrong in Washington these days.

Pillar has written an essay in Foreign Affairs on the intelligence process, more specifically on how the intelligence process becomes politicized and the consequences thereof. He writes neither of secret operations related to intelligence collection in Iraq, nor of potential illegal wiretaps. He writes about process. Pillar would have had to clear his essay through the CIA’s Publication Review Board to verify that it contained no classified information.

Pillar finds fault with how the Bush Administration used or misused intelligence by repeatedly seeking only information to support the case to go to war. Furthermore, the Bush Administration was negligent in examining the full range of consequences of the war, i.e. the post-invasion insurgence. Pillar does focus on the shortcomings of the politicians, neglecting to mention that it takes two to tango. CIA leadership was equally at fault by not forcefully delivering the bad with the good. Pillar talks about sugarcoating; the problem was much deeper than this. DCI Tenet undermined his own analysts in meetings when they tried to present the intelligence not to the Administration liking. But I digress.

Critics of Pillar, such as Guillermo Christensen writing in the Wall Street Journal, believe Pillar should keep his mouth shut. Pillar has no right to weigh in on the issue because as a former intelligence official he has an oath to neutrality. Writing this essay is viewed as a political act to slam the Bush Administration for its decision to go to war in Iraq.

Wall Street Journal
Op-ed
Un-Intelligence
By GUILLERMO CHRISTENSEN
February 17, 2006; Page A12

CIA officers on the cusp of retirement often enroll in a seminar that is supposed to help them adjust to life after the agency -- teaching them, for example, how to write a resume. I've begun to wonder if part of that program now includes a writing seminar on how to beat up on the Bush administration. The latest such blast comes from Paul Pillar, who, over the course of his long career, was arguably a central player in the CIA's analysis of the Middle East, in particular Iraq. But now Mr. Pillar has decided to disclose to the world, in a recent article in Foreign Affairs, that he thought all along that the war was a bad idea, and that the president and his advisers ignored his intelligence.

Why Mr. Pillar would even attempt to argue that the White House ignored the CIA's intelligence is beyond me -- as innumerable investigations have demonstrated, all of the "intelligence" within his responsibility was 100% in agreement that Iraq posed a serious danger and that it had an active program for acquiring WMD. Over the course of a decade and a half, and thousands of pages of intelligence analysis, it is hard to think of anyone in the government who was more directly involved in reaching the wrong conclusions about what was going on in Iraq than Mr. Pillar himself.

But let's put all that aside for the moment and conjecture that Mr. Pillar actually did change his mind about all that work he'd done, and that he really did think the intelligence didn't support the case for war. If that was truly so, no one was better positioned to make the case against war within the government than Mr. Pillar himself. He could have personally drafted a National Intelligence Estimate, or any number of other types of memoranda, for senior readers in government, recording for all in black and white what was really going on in Iraq. He could, furthermore, have shared that analysis with every single member of Congress by writing less-classified summaries of the conclusions, as is often done.

So why did Mr. Pillar fail to take these steps? Again, as the person in charge of assessing Iraq, if he really believed that Iraq posed no threat to the U.S., we're owed an explanation of why none of the consequences of going to war -- economic costs, military and civilian casualties -- were important enough for him to do something about it when it mattered. According to Mr. Pillar, it was only a year into the war that such an analysis was even undertaken, and then only at the request of the administration. The other major intelligence estimate performed before the war was the 2002 NIE on WMD, "infamous," as Mr. Pillar calls it, because it was so wrong.

The fact is, no other issue in the history of the CIA is as deserving of the title "Mother of all Intelligence Failures" as the debacle over the CIA's analysis of Iraq. Take your pick of the many studies that have tried to understand why the intelligence was so inaccurate, but the basic conclusion underlying all of them is the same: The CIA's analysis and collection on Iraq was flat-out wrong over the course of many years -- first in missing the fact that Iraq had WMD before the Gulf War, and then, well, you know the rest.

Paul Pillar was right in the thick of the process and substance that reached those conclusions. Had he actually written a warning to the administration against going to war before the war, his conclusions could not have rested on any of the CIA's intelligence analysis, but instead on his own political views against the administration -- something which he has made no bones about in discussions with think-tank audiences long before he left the agency. This, incidentally, is prohibited behavior according to the professional practices of the CIA, the equivalent of betraying attorney-client confidentiality.

Not merely content to have played a leading role in the Iraq intelligence failure, Mr. Pillar is now following in the footsteps of others like Michael Scheuer, in undermining whatever credibility and access the CIA still may have with policymakers. By violating his confidences, Mr. Pillar is ensuring that those who succeed him -- those who are, I hope, trying to fix the many problems facing the CIA -- will be even less likely to see any real impact from their work because the president and his advisers will be loath to trust them.

For decades, there has been a common understanding that CIA analysts play a role roughly analogous, for policymakers, to experts whose opinions are sought in confidence, such as lawyers or accountants. Presidents and their advisers have felt comfortable in relying on analysts, in theory at least, for unbiased information and conclusions -- and for keeping their mouths shut about what they learn. Presidents, secretaries of state, and others have given the CIA access into the inner sanctum of policymaking in the belief that the CIA would not use the media or leaks to influence the outcome.

For a CIA officer to discard this neutral role and to inject himself in the political realm is plain wrong. It will end up making the CIA even less relevant than it is today -- if that is possible.

Mr. Christensen, a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, served for 15 years as a CIA intelligence officer.

Is airing the truth, or the perception of truth based on experience, a political act or an act of a neutral professional? As an intelligence official, I firmly believe in the principle of calling it as you see it. An intelligence official should do this whether writing an assessment classified secret or an essay in a foreign policy journal. Others might view it from a political optic but that should not give them the veto right of silencing the debate. Pillar is saying something important in his essay that should not be lost in the political game-playing in Washington: the intelligence-policy relationship process is broken and it needs to be fixed.

It is very difficult to fix the intelligence community from the inside without outside support. First, the community is extremely resistant to major change. Second, it accepts change usually only after facing dire consequences. Third, it implements change only after having taken ownership of ideas forged elsewhere and repackaging them into something that can be claimed to be made internally. Within this construct, it is very useful to have someone of Pillar’s experience and stature to make the case in public, galvanizing other players to take action.

It does not mean that Pillar’s solution—move the IC further away from the policymaker to insolate it from political pressure—is the correct one and should be followed. I think that this is exactly the wrong solution to take away from Iraq war case. But it does mean taking an introspective look at the process and how it works today, how it worked in the past and who is should ideally work in the future in a world of different national security challenges.

Secrecy Gone Amok

For those paying attention to government policies on secrecy, the Washington Post Editorial on reclassification was not to be missed. The US government is fighting back against the 25 year automatic declassification program put in place during the Clinton Administration. Documents declassified under that program are now being pulled from the public domain and reclassified. The idea that a secret released and published can revert back to a secret through a bureaucratic act would be laughable if it wasn’t true.

I take a personal interest in this as I watch the CIA grapple with a conference paper I wrote in which I refer to information on the CIA website and the United Nations website. The censors have decided this information is classified and cut it out of my draft paper. I am contesting the decision. Will the CIA stand its ground? Will it pull the information off the CIA website, out of the Congressional record and the 9/11 Commission Report because it is classified? Or will they make the argument that it is classified depending on who writes it? I don’t know how they will explain the decision to make a UN document classified, but I am waiting with interest.

We seem to be having a tough time lately defining what a secret is and the consequences for receiving and publishing classified information. The lawsuit against the AIPAC employees bears watching. The heart of the issue is the question whether it is illegal for non-government employees (folks without security clearances) to orally receive and disseminate information that is classified? The AIPAC guys, Steven Rosen and Keith Weissman, apparently knew the information was secret and still told their contacts in the Israeli embassy. The US government is trying to make this into an espionage case.

The defendants are arguing that they did what reporters, think-tank experts and members of congressional staffs do hundreds of times every day, leak classified information and pass it along. This is true. Does it make it right and/or legal? Probably not, but it does tell you the law is honored in the breach. There must be something wrong with the law. This takes me back to my first point that we are having difficulty in defining what a secret is.

Clearly, we have a problem of over classification and an inability to declassify on a timely basis, the net affect is to hinder our government workers, thinking establishment and media from doing their jobs of informing, educating and analyzing.

But here I am pointing out that something is broken. Will I be Pillared?

Sunday, February 19, 2006

Unilateral Declassification?

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

The debate over the merits or demerits of leaks continued this week, but in an odd direction. I. “Scooter” Lewis Libby, former Chief of Staff to VP Cheney, who has been indicted for perjury, is claiming that he was authorized to give parts of the National Intelligence Estimate to the press. Cheney publicly backed him up, saying that as VP he has Executive Authority to declassify information. In other words, this was not a leak. Portions of the National Intelligence Estimate had been declassified.

Here is what Cheney said:

Interview of the Vice President by Brit Hume, FOX News
Vice President's Ceremonial Office
Eisenhower Executive Office Building
2:01 P.M. EST
Excerpt

Q Let me ask you another question. Is it your view that a Vice President has the authority to declassify information?

THE VICE PRESIDENT: There is an executive order to that effect.

Q There is.

THE VICE PRESIDENT: Yes.

Q Have you done it?

THE VICE PRESIDENT: Well, I've certainly advocated declassification and participated in declassification decisions. The executive order –

Q You ever done it unilaterally?

THE VICE PRESIDENT: I don't want to get into that. There is an executive order that specifies who has classification authority, and obviously focuses first and foremost on the President, but also includes the Vice President.

What is the difference between declassification and a leak? The first denotes the use of an established procedure and the second is a unilateral action. Declassification requests can originate from anywhere, from the President’s office, Congress or the public (FOIA). The request goes to the originator of the classification; i.e. the agency that classified the information in the first place. They decide what if any can be declassified. Under the Bush Administration, the White House apparently demanded a reviewing role of the declassification decisions if there was a political angle. A leak bypasses this process entirely and the information is made public.

The question is did VP Cheney go through the declassification process or did he do it legally unilaterally. There is no evidence that the CIA received and declassified the portions of the NIE—or for that matter the identity of Valerie Plame—before the information was passed to the press. If it is has been declassified by the CIA, there will be a paper trail with the request, action date and decision. A simple FOIA request would clear this up if it exists.

Did Cheney unilaterally, legally declassify portions of the NIE. Executive Order 12958 on “Classified National Security Information” provides the core rules on handling the classification and declassification of national security information. The role of the VP is mentioned only once and this was in terms of preempting the 25-year automatic declassification rule if declassification would “impair the ability of responsible United States Government officials to protect the President, the Vice President, and other individuals.”

It is important to remember the context of the Clinton EO on declassification. This was part of Gore’s Reinventing Government. There was the belief that the US government was too secret and was over classifying information. The goal was to introduce a process of automatic declassification and to make classification process more accountable—there had to be a valid reason behind the decision to classify in the first place. The Clinton EO did not provide anyone with the unilateral decision-making authority to declassify information, but the automatic declassification after 25 years—with notable exceptions.

The Bush Administration issued revisions to the Clinton EO on 25 March 2003, Executive Order No. 13292. In the amendments, the Vice President plays a major role. The VP-related sections deal with classification, access to classified information and declassification. The access and declassification parts are as follows:

• The automatic, 25-year declassification of national security information can be preempted if it would impair the ability to "protect" the Vice President from physical harm;

• Mandatory declassification review is required of information originating from the Vice President (i.e. of stuff the VP personally classifies);

• Mandatory declassification review is required from the Vice President's staff (i.e. of the stuff the VP staff classifies)’

• Access to certain national security information can be provided to individuals who occupied policy-making positions appointed by the Vice President (such as the VP’s staff, commissions members appointed by the VP, but the press would not fall into this category); and

• Waivers to rules of access to classified national security information will only apply to Vice Presidential appointees in areas of their policy work while working as an Executive Branch appointee.

I do not see anything here that indicates the VP has a legal, unilateral authority to declassify national security information classified by another individual and/or agency. Furthermore, if the leak was not a leak, but a declassification, why did Libby ask reporters to not identify him as the source of the information. Was the White House using the aura of a leak to give more credibility to the message? Now that is definitely a “wilderness of mirrors” thought.

The other point I’d like to make is the context of the Bush EO. It was drafted purposely to tighten up control over classified information. The White House and the intelligence community were roiling from leaks, on one hand, and Cheney’s anger about his staff being denied access to certain kinds of classified information.

Daniel Schorr, a long time political and intelligence watcher, astutely notes why leaks are an enduring problem in Washington. As long as there are partisan politics, there will be political leaks. Most leaks come from the politicos; not the spies. But that does not stop Goss’ witch hut at the CIA.

Christian Science Monitor
The dichotomy of intelligence leaks
There are leaks that serve an administration's purpose - and those that do not.
February 17, 2005
By Daniel Schorr

WASHINGTON - All leakdom could be said to be divided into two parts: the top-level leak serving some administration purpose, and the unauthorized subterranean, whistle-blowing leak that tends to defeat the administration's purpose.

President Reagan once complained of being, "up to my keister in leaks." He deeply resented leaks because they suggested some loyalty other than to him.

The current prime example of a damaging leak is The New York Times story of Dec. 15, 2005, about government eavesdropping without a warrant, which plunged the administration into something of a crisis. The Times' only attribution in the story was, "According to government officials." The president has ordered an investigation to discover the leaker. As far as I know, no whistle-blower leak investigation has ever led to successful prosecution.

Perhaps the unauthorized leaker of the century was the FBI's Mark Felt, aka Deep Throat. President Nixon, in time, came to suspect Mr. Felt but took no action against him. Nixon told his subordinates he feared Felt might make revelations about him that would prove even more damaging.

The other famous leaker of the 20th century was the RAND Corporation's Daniel Ellsberg, who delivered to The New York Times and The Washington Post the 7,000 page history of American involvement in the Vietnam War that came to be known as the "Pentagon Papers."

Deeply resentful of unauthorized and especially anonymous leaks, the White House nevertheless likes leaks that it can control. One such leak that spun out of control was the unveiling of the covert CIA identity of Valerie Plame, whose husband had cast doubt on the existence of an Iraqi nuclear program. If a leak can be said to have boomeranged, this one did. It is now the subject of a two-year special investigation. Vice President Cheney's chief of staff, I. Lewis Libby, has been indicted for perjury.

Mr. Libby has testified that his superiors also instructed him to leak information from a secret intelligence report about supposed Iraqi weapons of mass destruction. The investigation is still in progress.

Leaks can be a dangerous game, but danger is not likely to discourage them - either from the top, or from deep inside the government. As I have written before in these pages, the ship of State is the only kind of ship that leaks mainly from the top.

• Daniel Schorr is a senior news analyst at National Public Radio.

Tuesday, February 14, 2006

Leakers, Whistle-Blowers and Real Threats

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

I took a vacation last week from writing. The vacation reflected my desire to focus on other endeavors, not a lack of developments in the intelligence world. The following is a quick review of developments that should not go unnoticed.

War against Leakers

Director of Central Intelligence Agency Porter Goss took an unusual step (for him) to write an op-ed in the New York Times on 10 February 2006. In it, he takes aim at “unnamed intelligence officials” and “whistleblowers” for damaging US national security. On the former, he makes some solid points. On the latter, he just paints over the larger problem. The whistleblower legislation is written in a way that it makes it virtually impossible for those with knowledge of misdeeds to raise the issue outside their chain of command.

I speak with some personal experience on this front. I once tried to raise a concern with an intelligence oversight committee. The CIA Inspector General had refused to look at the issue. When I went to the committee and staffer cut me off before I could say one word on the topic. He passed me a sheet of paper, written in legalese that basically said that if I exposed to him classified information (he had a security clearance because he was an intelligence staffer) I could be prosecuted for breaking the law. He informed me that if I did not wish to go to jail, I had to deal with the matter through the CIA Inspector General. I left without accomplishing what I set out to do. The consequences are that the particular practice continues unchecked. This is not how I envisioned oversight to work.

New York Times
February 10, 2006
Op-Ed Contributor
Loose Lips Sink Spies
By PORTER GOSS
Washington

AT the Central Intelligence Agency, we are more than holding our own in the global war on terrorism, but we are at risk of losing a key battle: the battle to protect our classified information.

Judge Laurence Silberman, a chairman of President Bush's commission on weapons of mass destruction, said he was "stunned" by the damage done to our critical intelligence assets by leaked information. The commission reported last March that in monetary terms, unauthorized disclosures have cost America hundreds of millions of dollars; in security terms, of course, the cost has been much higher. Part of the problem is that the term "whistleblower" has been misappropriated. The sharp distinction between a whistleblower and someone who breaks the law by willfully compromising classified information has been muddied.

As a member of Congress in 1998, I sponsored the Intelligence Community
Whistleblower Protection Act to ensure that current or former employees could petition Congress, after raising concerns within their respective agency, consistent with the need to protect classified information.

Exercising one's rights under this act is an appropriate and responsible way to bring questionable practices to the attention of those in Congress charged with oversight of intelligence agencies. And it works. Government employees have used statutory procedures — including internal channels at their agencies — on countless occasions to correct abuses without risk of retribution and while protecting information critical to our national defense.

On the other hand, those who choose to bypass the law and go straight to the press are not noble, honorable or patriotic. Nor are they whistleblowers. Instead they are committing a criminal act that potentially places American lives at risk. It is unconscionable to compromise national security information and then seek protection as a whistleblower to forestall punishment.

Today America is confronting an enemy intent on brutal murder. Without the capacity to gain intelligence on terrorist organizations through clandestine sources and methods, we and our allies are left vulnerable to the horrors of homicidal fanaticism. The C.I.A. has put many terrorists out of action since 9/11. In our pursuit of the enemy, we accept the unique responsibility we bear as officers of a clandestine service serving an open, constitutional society. But we also know that unauthorized disclosure of classified intelligence inhibits our ability to carry out our mission and protect the nation. Revelations of intelligence successes or failures, whether accurate or not, can aid Al Qaeda and its global affiliates in many ways. A leak is invaluable to them, even if it only, say, prematurely confirms whether one of their associates is dead or alive. They can gain much more: these disclosures can tip the terrorists to new technologies we use, our operational tactics, and the identities of brave men and women who risk their lives to assist us.

Such leaks also cause our intelligence partners around the globe to question our professionalism and credibility. Too many of my counterparts from other countries have told me, "You Americans can't keep a secret." And because of the number of recent news reports discussing our relationships with other intelligence services, some of these critical partners have even informed the C.I.A. that they are reconsidering their participation in some of our most important antiterrorism ventures. They fear that exposure of their cooperation could subject their citizens to terrorist retaliation. Last month, a news article in this newspaper described a "secret meeting" to discuss "highly classified" techniques to detect efforts by other countries to build nuclear weapons. This information was attributed to unnamed intelligence officials who "spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the effort's secrecy." Whether accurate or not, this is a direct acknowledgment that these unnamed officials apparently know the importance of secrecy.

Recently, I noticed renewed debate in the news media over press reports in 1998 that Osama bin Laden's satellite phone was being tracked by United States intelligence officials. In the recent debate, it was taken for granted that the original reports did not hurt our national security efforts, and any suggestions that they did cause damage were dismissed as urban myth. But the reality is that the revelation of the phone tracking was, without question, one of the most egregious examples of an unauthorized criminal disclosure of classified national defense information in recent years. It served no public interest. Ultimately, the bin Laden phone went silent.

I take seriously my agency's responsibility to protect our national security. Unauthorized disclosures undermine our efforts and abuse the trust of the people we are sworn to protect. Since becoming director, I have filed criminal reports with the Department of Justice because of such compromises. That department is committed to working with us to investigate these cases aggressively. In addition, I have instituted measures within the agency to further safeguard the integrity of classified data.

Our enemies cannot match the creativity, expertise, technical genius and tradecraft that the C.I.A. brings to bear in this war. Criminal disclosures of national security information, however, can erase much of that advantage. The terrorists gain an edge when they keep their secrets and we don't keep ours.

Porter Goss is the director of the Central Intelligence Agency.
Copyright 2006 The New York Times Company


Whistler-blowers Fight Back

This week Congress will hear directly from intelligence community whistler-blowers. Rather than talk about what they want to talk about—wrong doing—they will talk about what happens when they talk—retribution. Jeff Stein, the national security editor at Congressional Quarterly, has written an excellent article on this in his intel blog.

CQ HOMELAND SECURITY – INTELLIGENCE
Feb. 10, 2006 – 8:47 p.m.
In From the Cold: Shays to Give NSA Whistleblower a Hearing
By Jeff Stein, National Security Editor

Had all this happened in the 1970s, Russell Tice would have been on the run and secret White House burglars would be rifling through his psychiatrist’s files in search of dirt they could use against him.

Instead, the former National Security Agency (NSA) manager is giving interviews on the inside world of the forbidding, code-breaking labyrinth whose warrantless domestic telephone and e-mail intercepts have suddenly convulsed congressional Republicans.

Tice is hardly alone. On Tuesday, he’ll be one of a half-dozen intelligence workers emerging from the shadows to testify at a House hearing chaired by Connecticut Republican Rep. Christopher Shays on legislation to protect national security whistleblowers from retaliation.

It’s as if Deep Throat had outed himself and signed up as a television analyst while Woodward and Bernstein were still churning out Watergate stories.

Tice played no such central role in The New York Times’ revelations of the NSA’s domestic spying, says another national security whistleblower who knows him well. He’s not this generation’s Daniel Ellsberg, the Defense Department dissenter who leaked the secret Vietnam War documents that became known as the Pentagon Papers.

But what does seem unprecedented here is the role that Tice has been handed: to play Virgil to Congress for a tour of the intelligence underworld, where powerful bureaucrats make life and death decisions without much oversight or even supervision.

Wilderness of Mirrors

Tice gave an extraordinary interview recently to the libertarian magazine Reason in which he hinted at the depths to which the NSA story may eventually drill.

“I’ve known this for a long time and I’ve kept my mouth shut,” he said.

“You’re referring,” the interviewer asked, “to what [New York Times reporter] James Risen calls ‘The Program,’ the NSA wiretaps that have been reported on?”

“No,” Tice answered. “I’m referring to what I need to tell Congress that no one knows yet, which is only tertiarily connected to what you know about now.”

“[T]hese things are so deep black,” Tice said, “the extremely sensitive programs that I was a specialist in, these things are so deep black that only a minute few people are cleared for these things.”

He risked losing his security clearance, he said, even by merely questioning a program’s legality inside the building. “So you have literally nowhere to go.”

Except to the press, and now, Congress, which until recently has shown little inclination to drill into his dark world.

Tice says he was “the worker bee who does the work, writes the reports, goes into the field, does the liaison work, makes the phone calls.” Being “the nitty-gritty detail guy,” he says, made him a lethal threat to NSA bosses.

Tice is not likely to spill everything he saw and heard at the NSA in open testimony. The Shays committee’s focus is retaliation against national security dissidents, who are exempted from the protections afforded federal whistleblowers in non-classified jobs.

Tice will tell a hellish tale. His black-chamber bosses ordered him to undergo a psychiatric exam, pronounced him unfit for duty and stripped him of his security clearance.

It “destroys your career in the intel field, makes you unemployable forever,” he says.

Except, perhaps, as an expert analyst on MSNBC.

Secret Lovers

Another scheduled witness, Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) operative Lt. Col. Anthony Shaffer, will tell the committee about what happened after he went public with his insistence that U.S. intelligence knew about the impending Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks and could have prevented them. He entered what’s often called a “wilderness of mirrors” — a phrase spies use to describe a paranoid world where their life of deception turns back on them.

Shaffer, who spent years as a super-secret DIA agent handler, surfaced last year in stories about a deeply clandestine DIA data-mining unit code-named “Able Danger,” which he says latched onto the movements of Mohammed Atta and other al Qaeda hijackers weeks before the Sept. 11 attack. Another leader of the units says the same.

Shaffer will tell Shays’ Subcommittee on National Security, Emerging Threats and International Relations how his career was sidetracked and his reputation trashed when he challenged the official version of events handed down by the Sept. 11 commission, a source familiar with his 66-page prepared statement says.

But the next day, Feb. 15, Shaffer will get a chance to tell the whole Able Danger story under oath to a closed-door, joint hearing of two House Armed Services subcommittees.

The fact that Shaffer, now on paid leave from the DIA, is finally getting such a forum to tell his story is testimony to the weakened power of the White House to control events related to intelligence abuses on Capitol Hill. More than 200 members of Congress from both sides of the aisle have signed on to a demand that the Defense Department investigate Shaffer’s claims.

For months Shaffer’s version of events has not only been dismissed by Sept. 11 commission Vice Chairman Lee H. Hamilton, but tarnished through his close association with Republican Rep. Curt Weldon of Pennsylvania. Weldon has a reputation among intelligence journalists, fairly or not, as someone whose allegations aren’t always backed up by the facts.

As Shaffer’s scheduled testimony drew near, there were whispers that the White House had engineered the lifting of Shaffer’s gag order in exchange for a promise that he would focus on Clinton administration intelligence failures, not their own.

Contacted by telephone late Friday, Shaffer emphatically rejected that notion. He repeated his previous desire only to testify on important matters he says the Sept. 11 commission left out, and — citing the same gag order — declined to discuss the issue further.

Whistleblower Windfall

Washington is suddenly awash in people like Shaffer, according to Sibel Edmonds, an ex-FBI translator and founder of the National Security Whistleblowers Coalition, which gets “five to 10 calls every day” from disenchanted intelligence and homeland security employees, she says. The group now has 75 members.

Besides Shaffer, the committee will also hear from 16-year FBI special agent Mike German, who will describe how his career went south after he complained about irregularities in a Florida terrorism investigation.

Shays has also summoned the Justice Department inspector general to explain why his report on German’s complaint of official misconduct has not been made public.

And the committee will hear from Richard Levernier, a former senior Department of Energy security specialist, whose reward for complaining about the vulnerabilities of nuclear power plants earned him mostly opprobrium and ridicule from his superiors.

Former U.S. Army Intelligence Sgt. Samuel J. Provance III, who in 2004 disobeyed an order not to discuss the abuse of prisoners at Iraq’s infamous Abu Ghraib jail, is also on the witness list.

Provance will tell the committee how he was stripped of his security clearance, pursued by Army detectives and threatened with court martial.

After he told his story to ABC News, he was deluged by e-mails, he said last year.

“The first one I got was from a retired military police officer. He wrote, ‘Thanks for doing the right thing.’ About an hour later I got another one that said, ‘You’re a sorry soldier.’”

People said as much about Daniel Ellsberg.

Backchannel Chatter

Code Red: Clark Kent Ervin, the acting Department of Homeland Security inspector general who was unceremoniously cut loose before the second Bush term, “candidly discusses the circumstances of his departure” in a book scheduled for April, according to his publisher. “He ... shows how his team’s prescriptions for urgent change were ignored — leaving the U.S. vulnerable to another terrorist attack,” says St. Martin’s Press ... Risky Business: Overclassification of documents is putting the nation’s intelligence system at “risk,” says no less than a top FBI lawyer. Writing in the current edition of the American Intelligence Journal, published by the National Military Intelligence Association, FBI counsel M.E. “Spike” Bowen points out that “the person most likely to encounter a person who means to do harm is the local law enforcement agent.” But because cops don’t have high security clearances, “Information that might be used to identify a potential terrorist is ... not in the hands of those in a position to act on it.”

Jeff Stein can be reached at jstein@cq.com.
Source: CQ Homeland Security
© 2006 Congressional Quarterly Inc. All Rights Reserved.



The Real Threats

DNI John Negroponte testified before Congress on February 2, giving the Annual Threat Assessment briefing. To point out the obvious, the fact that the DNI delivered the assessment and that it is posted on the DNI website, not the CIA website, shows intelligence community reform in action. The other interesting aspect was who testified. Seated next to Negroponte were the faces of the intelligence community, from the CIA, INR, DHS and DIA. If you will recall past briefings, the DCI would brief on foreign intelligence and the head of the FBI would brief on domestic intelligence: a community of two.

The substance of the report also shows the intelligence community is alive and well. For the first time since the fall of the Soviet Union has the annual threat assessment takes on a global perspective. Sure it is heavy on terrorism and Iraq, but we are a nation at war. Notably, the assessment focuses far more on the Iraq-specific issues, quite separate from the GWOT—a reflection that the intel community understands that while there are implications for the GWOT in Iraq, Iraq is an animal entirely to itself. If Iraq falls apart, the territorial integrity of the entire region will be under threat. There was a hint of turf battles in the Iraq section indicated by the inclusion of the statement that intelligence has a “key role” to play in combating threats to pipelines, electric power grids and personal safety. Gee, is someone trying to keep the spooks out of the PRTs?

The following assessment of the intra-Islamic debate is spot on, but unfortunately three years too late. If this had been understood at the outset—and many people outside the intel world did make the connections—then the prosecution of the GWOT would have looked entirely different.

“Impact of the Islamic Debate. The debate between Muslim extremists and moderates also will influence the future terrorist environment, the domestic stability of key US partners, and the foreign policies of governments throughout the Muslim world. The violent actions of global jihadists are adding urgency to the debate within Islam over how religion should shape government. Growing internal demands for reform in many Muslim countries further stimulate this debate. In general, Muslims are becoming more aware of their Islamic identity, leading to growing political activism; but this does not necessarily signal a trend toward radicalization. Most Muslims reject the extremist message and violent agendas of the global jihadists. Indeed, as Muslims endorse democratic principles of freedom, equality, and the rule of law and a role for their religious beliefs in building better futures for their communities, there will be growing opportunities for countering a jihadist movement that only promises more authoritarianism, isolation, and economic stagnation.”


Afghanistan, as last year, barely gets a footnote, an indication of the depth of our involvement there.

WMD gets a lot of space, as it has during the last ten years. When are we going to stop whining about North Korea and Iran and do something about it?

The most interesting section in my view was the democracy agenda captured in the “Governance, Political Instability and Democratization” section. When the National Democratic Institute-types (who do very valuable work) heard the intel community would be getting involved in promoting democracy abroad, they went crazy. They felt it would undermine the legitimacy and credibility in working on the ground. What this new generation of democracy advocates forgot or never learned is that the CIA is an old hand at playing politics in the foreign spear, for good or for bad. Since democracy promotion is one of President Bush’s key foreign policies, it is understandable that the intel community will be tasked to do its share in understanding the local and regional dynamics, challenges and assets for democracy building. The strength of this section of the threat report is its regional and global approach. There is no hint that the intel community is viewing these issues through a counterterrorism optic—which would be a terrible mistake. (During the Cold War, we made the mistake of view all local and regional develops through the Soviet optic.)

All in all, the threat assessment made me feel that the intel community was working from a good matrix and was not permitting US political issues frame its scope of work. Good job guys!

Sunday, January 29, 2006

Ethics and Intelligence: Not an Oxymoron

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

Yesterday I attended a conference on ethics and intelligence. I had prepared for this conference for the past five months as I was presenting a paper entitled, “Renditions: The Ethics and National Security Debate”. I was unable to deliver my paper because of CIA censors. But before going into these details, let me say a bit about the conference.

The purpose of the conference was to explore whether intelligence professionals could and should adhere to a formal ethics system as part of a best practices approach. For example, in the legal and medical profession, professionals must rigidly practice professional ethics. The professional associations provide guidance on ethical dilemmas and encourage professional debate on the do’s and don’ts. If found in breach of ethical standards, doctors and lawyers can be sanctioned by their colleagues through their professional association.

Presenters at the conference covered a wide range of perspectives, from the military, academia, philosophy, law, anthropology, and psychology, and of course folks from the intelligence community (IC). This was the strength of the conference.

Topics of the presentations were all over the board. Some very good. Some very bad, in my humble opinion. To the bad first. There were kooky and malicious allegations by some of terrible past deeds by the CIA and special ops folks. I am not going to repeat these in specific because why spread falsehood. But in general, some accused the IC of kidnapping, murder and other immoral behavior on a grand and pervasive scale. As they described their image of the CIA in particular, I was left bewildered because never in my time at the CIA did I ever participate, read about, hear at loud or in whispers any hint that such terrible acts were are part of our history or present.

What I found most beneficial were the discussions of ethical frameworks already well developed that could be used within the intelligence world. Particularly, the military concept of Just War. If in our society, it is ethical to be a soldier and protect the nation’s security within a well developed ethical framework, why can we not create a similar construct for intelligence professionals? I am sufficiently intellectually stimulated that I will explore these concepts in greater detail in the coming months.

Some of the questions were writ large: Do we have a right to privacy from eavesdropping activities? Should there be informed consent before collection, recruitment or intelligence exploitation? What does commensurate force mean in intelligence collection? What is the intelligence equivalence of last resort? Does the American democratic right to know the activities of its government extend to the activities of the intelligence community?

Many of the questions were focus and tactical: Should the US engage in and condone torture? When is domestic surveillance permissible? Can leaking to the press ever be considered ethical? And many more.

What were the views of the IC on this conference? If they had any, they were silent. In my opinion, a conference such as this could be openly supported by the IC leadership. I firmly believe that our officers think about ethics a lot because the nature of the work presents them with dilemmas on a daily basis. It is worth countering the ill-informed statements that intelligence officers have no ethics or lose their ethical footings the moment they walk into the shielded enclosure of the intelligence community.

The idea that intelligence officers are amoral is just not true. I consider myself a very principled person with strong moral foundations. I look at my past career, at the ethical dilemmas I faced. I am comfortable with the decisions I made and I sleep well at night. From my conversations with my former colleagues, I know this to be true of many of them.

Why did the CIA not participate or sponsor or encourage this conference? Perhaps it was under their radar screen as I was told by one serving official. Why did they hinder the conference by not letting me add to the debate? The official response was that my paper contained classified information. The real answer is that they did not wish for me to participate. I am too high profile and speak with too much authority. My paper, admittedly controversial, contained no classified. Much of the material the censors blacked out can be found on the CIA website. Some of the material was directly pulled from the United Nation’s website in the form of a ratified convention by the UN and the US Senate. Other information came from published reports by Human Rights Watch. There were footnotes and quotations to source the information.

No, the CIA bureaucrats were hiding behind the false flag of the censors. We tend to think of censors working in small rooms, their weapon the black marker. Under Porter Goss, the censors today use a paint roller and work in the dark. They assume that if the topic is related to intelligence, it is classified. This is the result of the bubble in which they live.

At the end of the day, I have full confidence the paper will be cleared. I am sure I will find a suitable journal to publish it. The CIA will look silly for their effort. Perhaps it is a tactical win on silencing debate, but ultimately a strategic loss. I don’t lose if the CIA is roundly viewed as unethical and immoral; serving officers do.

This all me think about issue of secrecy and ethics. Is silencing debate ethical? Is it abuse of power? Is it necessary? Is it productive?

Sunday, January 22, 2006

Warrantless Wiretap Entertainment

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

The debate this past week over warrantless wiretaps reminded me of World Wrestling Entertainment, shocking at first, boring as the contrived moves go on and on and ultimately predictable in results. The Al Gore Half Nelson and the White House Neckbreaker demonstrated that the issue will remain a political free-for-all, but added little to the substantive debate.

There was some informed discussion on the topic, however. The Congressional Research Service—a non-partisan research agency that informs Congress on issues of legislative interest—issued two reports that deserve close scrutiny. The first report, released on 5 January 2006, assessed presidential authority to conduct warrantless electronic surveillance to gather foreign intelligence information. The second report, released on 18 January 2006, assessed statutory procedures under which Congress is to be informed of US intelligence activities, including covert action. In a nutshell, the first found the practice in breach of the FISA law. The second report found that NSA and the White House did not meet the requirement of keeping the intelligence committees “fully and currently informed” of the domestic surveillance effort.

The first report, a slow read for a non-lawyer, made a pretty compelling argument for illegality. The second report left me laughing. The “fully and currently informed” language is a joke and has always been a joke. It is technically impossible for the intelligence community (IC) to meet this requirement because short of giving every member of the oversight committees unrestricted access to all of the computer systems in the IC, there are not enough briefers or congressional staffers and hours in the day to tell Congress absolutely everything the IC does on a daily basis.

The “fully and currently informed” language has historically been used as a spanking paddle against members of the IC when one agency or another does something that someone on the oversight committee does not like. In the 1970s, the language crept into existence, first being non-binding requirement for dealing with the newly established oversight committees. The Intelligence Oversight Act of 1980 made the “fully and currently informed” language a legal obligation for the IC—this came after the Church Committee investigation. Subsequently, the language has been invoked as Congress investigates IC activities, as a tsk-tsk for not providing details in the nth degree on an operation under investigation.

A more meaty part of the second report is the criticism that the White House and NSA restricted oversight by limiting the briefings to the “Gang of Eight”. Doing this made the whole oversight process just process, devoid of any added value. What I found amazing is not that the White House, NSA or DCI tried to restrict access to the program, but that the “Gang of Eight” agreed to the terms. It shows that they intrinsically acknowledge that oversight is an empty process.

The other interesting commentary on the topic came from Victoria Toensing in the Wall Street Journal on 19 January, entitled “Terrorists on Tap”. In it, Toensing argues that FISA is broken, has been broken and will remain broken. Unfortunately, her experience with FISA predates 9/11 as do all the examples used to support her argument. Nonetheless, she hits the nail on the head in the following passage:

“The overarching problem is that FISA, written in 1978, is technologically antediluvian. It was drafted by legislators who had no concept of how terrorists could communicate in the 21st century or the technology that would be invented to intercept those communications. The rules regulating the acquisition of foreign intelligence communications were drafted when the targets to be monitored had one telephone number per residence and all the phones were plugged into the wall. Critics like Al Gore and especially critics in Congress, rather than carp, should address the gaps created by a law that governs peacetime communications-monitoring but does not address computers, cell phones or fiber optics in the midst of war.”

Having reached this somewhat obvious conclusion, Toensing then completely shoots herself in the foot by arguing that the President should be excused for not asking Congress in 2001 to amend FISA because it would have led to a public debate on how the US monitors terrorist suspects. She completely ignores the fact that there was already a public debate on the shortcomings of our counterterrorism efforts as a consequence of 9/11. That public debate was in the form of the 9/11 Commission and the Joint Congressional inquiry—both of which discusses explicitly the limitations on NSA authorities to collect intelligence within the US.

Toensing also expresses the fear that if the President asks for the law to be modified, Congress will make a political issue out of it and the IC will come away with less ability to monitor. In other words, working within the democratic system is too risky; better not to ask permission and deny or make counter accusations later. Hummm.

Monday, January 16, 2006

Reading and Writing the Mail

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

In the past month, US intelligence has been accused of reading and writing the mail. Yes, US intelligence has been caught doing it job. Gentlemen do and should read and write other’s mail. This is a basic rule in the intelligence business. Good job guys!

The National Security Agency (NSA), in its efforts to develop operational leads against possible terrorists in the US, has been monitoring voice and data communications between suspected terrorists overseas and folks in the US.

In Iraq, the US is accused of spreading propaganda by paying agents of influence to spread ideas and messages the US supports.

As I wrote in previous posts, the NSA should have the authorization and established procedures to collect signals intelligence to defend national security. Yes, it needs to be done in a way consistent with US laws and with intelligence oversight, but it still needs to be done. Senator Specter, Chairman of the Judiciary Committee, will conduct hearings on the controversy in February. His comments reflect the view that the wiretapping was done in the best interests of the nation, but on shaky legal ground. This is a no-brainer, Congress. Get busy drafting legislation that provides the necessary legal framework.

Wars are not won through great defense. We must defeat the ideas for which our enemy stands. Propaganda is a powerful weapon in the war of ideas and we should not shy away from it. Reuel Marc Gerecht wrote an excellent op-ed on the topic in the Washington Post this past week. I frequently disagree with Gerecht on intelligence and Middle East issues, but think he was spot on when it comes to the value of propaganda.

'Hearts and Minds' in Iraq
As History Shows, Ideas Matter More Than Who Pays to Promote Them
By Reuel Marc Gerecht
Washington Post
Tuesday, January 10, 2006; A15

Once again we are confronted with stories about how the Pentagon and its ubiquitous private contractors are undermining free inquiry in Iraq. "Muslim Scholars Were Paid to Aid U.S. Propaganda," reports the New York Times. Journalists, intellectuals or clerics taking money from Uncle Sam or, in this case, a Washington-based public relations company, is seen as morally troubling and counterproductive. Sensible Muslims obviously would not want to listen to the advice of an American-paid consultant; anti-insurgent Sunni clerics can now all be slurred as corrupt stooges.

There is one big problem with this baleful version of events. Historically, it doesn't make much sense. The United States ran enormous covert and not-so-covert operations known as "CA" activities throughout the Cold War. With the CIA usually in the lead, Washington spent hundreds of millions of dollars on book publishing, magazines, newspapers, radios, union organizing, women's and youth groups, scholarships, academic foundations, intellectual salons and societies, and direct cash payments to individuals (usually scholars, public intellectuals and journalists) who believed in ideas that America thought worthy of support.

It's difficult to assess the influence of these covert-action programs. But when an important Third World political leader writes that a well-known liberal Western book had an enormous impact on his intellectual evolution -- a book that, unbeknownst to him was translated and distributed in his country at CIA expense -- then it's clear that the program had value. It shouldn't be that hard for educated Americans to support such activity, even though one often can't gauge its effectiveness.

Nor should it be so hard to support even more aggressive clandestine action in developing democracies such as Iraq. Let us make a Cold War parallel. As is well known, the CIA for years financially maintained the British journal Encounter. This magazine, which was perhaps the most important English-language outlet for anti-communist U.S. and European writers, influenced debates among the Western intelligentsia from the 1950s through the '70s. By bang-for-the-buck calculation, it may be the most effective nonmilitary highbrow covert action the United States has funded.

Does anyone seriously believe that the French intellectual giant Raymond Aron was compromised by regularly writing for this publication or for French magazines also funded by the CIA? Regardless of whether Aron or others at Encounter might have suspected that their checks were cut by the U.S. taxpayer, are their insights and reporting any less relevant and true?

A historian looking at Radio Free Europe-Radio Liberty when it was subsumed within the CIA would probably find it hard to suggest that it was less truthful or more subject to political manipulation than today's Radio Liberty, which operates under the oversight of the politicized and idiosyncratic Board of Broadcasting Governors. RFE-RL was probably the most successful "soft power" expenditure that Washington ever made. East European and Soviet dissidents didn't have a problem with the CIA backing. The issue with them, as it is today with Uzbeks listening to Radio Liberty or Muslims elsewhere reading or listening to U.S.-supported material, is whether the content echoes the reality that they know.

Contrary to what is commonly believed, CIA funding of intellectual "propaganda" projects -- including direct cash payments to American and foreign journalists -- has usually been done with the lightest touch. In my direct experience, and in reading files covering CA activity in Europe and the Middle East, I never saw an instance in which agency officers manipulated the final product. What was regrettable was that CIA officials often didn't have the linguistic skill or education to match the countries they covered and had no real grasp of what their CA assets were writing.

Why did the United States spend so much covert-action money in Western Europe after World War II? Washington was unsure of Western Europe's commitment to democracy and its resolve to oppose the Soviet Union and its proxy European communist parties. The programs had to be clandestine: The foreigners involved usually could not have operated with open U.S. funding without jeopardizing their lives, their families or their reputations. Did these CA projects retard or damage the growth of a free press and free inquiry in Western Europe after World War II? I think an honest historical assessment would conclude that U.S. covert aid advanced both.

Surely democracy in Iraq is at least as shaky as it was in Western Europe after the defeat of Hitler. The real complaint that ought to be made against the Bush administration is that it has allowed such important work to be contracted to a public relations firm (in the case cited above, the Lincoln Group) that has done a poor job of protecting anonymity. Nevertheless, one has to give the Pentagon credit: It seems to be the only government agency that is at least trying to develop Iraqi cadres to wage the "hearts and minds" campaign. The CIA seems to have all but abandoned its historical mission in this area.

The Bush administration shouldn't flinch from increasing its covert "propaganda" efforts in Iraq and elsewhere in the Middle East. The history in the last great war of ideas is firmly on its side.

The writer, a former CIA case officer, is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.© 2006 The Washington Post Company

Sunday, January 08, 2006

Executive Orders

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

Americans are most familiar with Executive Orders in the context of new initiatives started by the US president that may or may not be followed up by new legislation. Presidents issue them fairly frequently as a way to make the government move in a desired direction. These are all public documents. Bush’ first Executive Order was on Faith-based and Community Initiatives. A vanilla topic. Right?

To the intelligence community (IC), they are marching orders. The most important guidelines for the IC are in the form of Executive Orders. EO 12333 signed by President Reagan in December 81 and subsequently updated a number of times. EO 12333 tells the IC what the missions are authorities. EO 12333 contains the language banning assassination, using American journalists and the Peace Corps for covert operations, among many other things.

For the IC, Executive Orders are just the tip of the iceberg. This is the part that is above water, transparent to all Americans. Secret presidential orders, the body of the iceberg, fill in the blanks, providing authorization to take specific actions. Covert Action, for example, requires presidential authorization in the form of a finding (or Memorandum of Notification). If the president wants to secretly overthrow the government in a foreign country, and he wants the CIA to do it, the CIA will draft a finding for the president’s signature. There is always a tension of language on findings. The CIA prefers precise language for organizational self-protection; the White House likes vague text for political deniability. The White House usually wins these struggles, given the power of balance—the CIA works for the President.

Do presidents ever ask the CIA to break US law? Yes. A historical example is during the time of the Nixon administration when Nixon asked the CIA to engage in domestic espionage related to Watergate. DCI Helms famously refused and became political toast.

Is President Bush getting ready to ask the CIA to break US law? Since President Bush and I do not chat on a regular, or irregular, basis, I can only speculate. The “signing statement” Bush issued when he signed McCain anti-torture law makes me wonder.

In essences, Bush is saying in the signing statement that as Commander-in-chief, he reserves the right to waive the law’s restrictions in the name of protecting national security. Or, when it comes to war, the president is above the law and can authorize the CIA to act above the law.

I bet there are some nervous folks over in Langley right now. Since the rather public fight between the CIA and the White House in the run up to the Iraq war and the months that followed, the CIA has been doing its utmost to mend fences and to show that the men and women of the CIA are indeed the president’s men. Director of the CIA Goss has been at the vanguard. How will Goss react if and when he gets pressure from the White House to continue harsh interrogation practices? How will the GS-10 in the prison cell interrogating the al-Qa’ida prisoner react?

I am currently preparing a paper for a conference on Ethics and Intelligence. One of the questions I ponder is what makes good people do bad things. My conclusion is that when an operations officer is called to the Seventh Floor and told that he is being sent out somewhere to do a particularly important and difficult interrogation, that officer is being set up for the ethics test of his life. He is told it is critical, the nation’s security could be at stake; break the guy and bring home the intelligence. The President wants it. I come from this culture and understand the unspoken message: duty, loyalty and mission accomplishment trumps all.

Will Goss take a page out of Helm’s book; or will he follow the path of Bill Casey, the DCI of Iran-Contra fame?

Monday, January 02, 2006

New Year Resolutions

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

Like many Americans, I am a fan of New Year Resolutions. A personal plan of action is always a good thing, even if it is not completely realized by the end of the year. The Intelligence Community (IC) could use a few New Year Resolutions as well. There are many positive developments that can and should be built upon. There are some problems as well that are lurking and will likely be points of discussion and controversy in 2006.

Leadership

The standing up of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) and the getting down to work by John Negroponte, General Michael Hayden and the staff is a significant achievement. Their progress has been slow, but the task is enormous. They must dismantle piece by piece and construct anew not just the skeleton but the soft tissue of the IC as well. The entire process of how intelligence flows through the IC is being changed, arguably for the better. We are still not beyond the possibility that the ODNI will just be another bureaucratic layer without value added. The real value, after reform, is the ODNI must be the policy hub for the IC.

Other positive develops include the positioning of Charlie Allen over at DHS. Allan is a community man who thinks strategically. This can only help DHS, which is suffering from a patchwork of agencies, missions and visions.

Stephen Cambone, Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence, seems to be coming into his own at the Pentagon. The word in the corridors is that his shop is the place to be if you want to be involved in threshold pushing operations. Watching the people trail is a good indicator. One of the top female CIA scientific officers recognized greener pastures in the Pentagon’s intel shop this past year, following in now well-worn tracks from the CIA to DIA and other military intel offices.

Porter Goss is floundering at the CIA, accused by the troops of politicizing intelligence and by outsiders of not using a firm enough hand. On Goss, I had adopted a wait and see approach. I liked what he was saying in terms of a new vision for the CIA. I just wanted to see him implement the changes necessary to realize the vision. I give Goss uneven grades on this front. I was extremely disappointed by Goss’ decision to not hold any CIA officer accountable for poor performance for 9/11. Goss says he took the decision because the officers in question demonstrated dedication and risk-taking after the devastating attacks on our homeland. In other words, institutional loyalty and good effort excuses poor performance.

Did Goss reach his decision with the intention of saving the CIA, an organization where I am honored to have worked for more than a decade? Or did he do it to salvage his reputation inside the walls of Langley? It is certain that giving a pass to poor performance will result in neither. Officers named in the CIA Inspector General report are those who failed to do their jobs and the ones who should be held accountable. They should not be the mentors or roll models for the next generation of spies. Indeed, eschewing accountability will only lead to the destruction of the CIA.

If Goss thinks he will win new friends and supporters by giving CIA officers a pass on poor performance, he is wrong. DCI Woolsey tried this when he decided no one should be held accountable for the Aldrich Ames spying scandal. Ames’s treachery led to the death of at least ten Soviet spies. Woolsey found himself quickly out of a job and the CIA was terribly weakened by a half-decade of political attacks and bureaucratic turf wars that followed. This time we are not talking about 10 foreign spies, but thousands of Americans slaughtered on one day.

Resolutions: Buy into the vision of a new IC that is integrated, committed to excellence, accountable for poor performance and welcoming of innovation.

Policy

2005 is the year that debate on intelligence policy started to re-emerge from the vaults. At least three factors led to this: the pending sunset of certain Patriot Act provisions, congressional reaction to Abu Ghraib abuses and leak of a sensitive NSA collection program.

The Bush Administration has a strong preference to operate in secret and to minimize debate. This has led to growing distrust of government practices and increasing demands for more transparency. Administration officials have recently acknowledged the need to permit debate on a range of topics—no doubt in reaction to the polls. The Administration, however, has resisted permitting a debate on intelligence policy, trying to mischaracterize policy as intelligence activities and therefore secret.

What are the public policy issues? Balancing civil liberties and national security; clear policies on the detention and treatment of prisoners in the global war on terrorism; and the checks and balances on executive authorities related to intelligence.

Negroponte has been conspicuously absent from some of the major policy debates. He is quoted as saying “It’s above my pay grade” when asked about exempting the CIA from the law banning torture. I find this troublesome because the chief intel officer should be the policy go-to guy. He needs to weigh in one way or another, as a voice of the IC. It is understandable that the ODNI is currently focused on process, but that is no excuse to avoid the big policy issues because policy as much as process shapes the capabilities and the overall health of the IC.

Resolutions: Return intelligence policy fully to the world of public policy and make the ODNI the focal point for representing the IC.

Performance

In 2005, there was no major terrorist attack against the US homeland despite the continuing motivation of terrorist groups to do grievous harm. US intelligence agencies continue to identify and neutralize threats, showing the war on terror is far from over.

Intelligence is a lot like war fighting. Winning a lot of skirmishes does not count much if you loose the big battles and as a consequence the war. Americans don’t know much about the IC’s success on the skirmish level, but they do know about 9/11 and Iraqi WMD. The challenges are daunting for continued success: insufficient personnel with experience, a not well-understood enemy in the global war on terrorism and insufficient resources to do everything, everywhere, all the time.

As concerned as I am about CIA capabilities, I believe the FBI is the greater problem. The FBI continues to play lip service to the call to do business in an entirely different way. The FBI does not have a strong enough handle on either counterterrorism or counterintelligence. Its knowledge base on Islamic extremism is poor and there are few efforts to improve it. The Chinese are stealing US technology and running circles around the FBI. The Parlor Maid case is just the tip of the iceberg. Only the 9/11 Commission seems to be asking hard questions about FBI performance and mission suitability—and that a day late and dollar short after giving the issue a pass when they prepared the Commission Report. My real worry is that the US will push down the road dealing with the hard issue of breaking up the FBI and creating a domestic intelligence service until faced with another colossal intelligence failure.

Resolutions: Don’t rest on the laurels of success from 2005; grapple with the unfinished business of degraded capabilities and wrong structures that negatively impact the ability of the IC to identify and pre-empt national security threats.

New Year Wishes

I believe the IC turned an important corner in 2005 on the road to recovery. Let’s be positive in encouraging the trend to continue in 2006 while being prudent about continuing problems. Despite all the controversy, ups and downs, bad press, and leaks, we should not lose sight of the people. To the men and women in the intelligence profession, I wish them success in the New Year and thank them for their service and dedication.

Sunday, December 25, 2005

Good Leaks, Bad Leaks?

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

In his commentary in the LA Times entitled the “Plame Platoon is AWOL on New Leaks” Max Boot demonstrated the insidiousness of politicizing intelligence. Boot challenged Plame supporters, presuming their position on leaks would be determined by politics, not principles. Boot’s argument said more about him than others when this normally intelligent commentator slipped into the good leaks, bad leaks argument by defending the outing of Valerie Plame and criticizing the exposure of secret prisons, renditions and secret wiretaps. So here is the rejoinder from one “high-minded” intelligence professional.

All leaks that compromise intelligence sources and methods are bad. Some destroy the ability of clandestine operators to do their job. Others shut down productive collection operations. Beyond the damage that a leak does at the operational level, leaks done for political reasons can undermine the credibility of the intelligence community by putting it at risk of becoming a political pull-toy.

The fact that the intelligence community is leaking like a sieve is a good indication that something is broken. That something is the intelligence policy. Post 9/11, intelligence policy has had to transform to meet emerging threats of domestic and international terrorism and weapons proliferation. Our intelligence community as set up and evolved since 1947 was not well suited to the task at hand. In the remaking of the intelligence community, there has been great confusion. This confusion has been fed by a belief by some policymakers and intelligence practitioners that intelligence policy is not public policy. In other words, nothing in the intelligence world belongs in the public domain.

Intelligence policy is not the same as intelligence practices. Policy is the framework, the laws, the missions, the authorities, the guidelines and the limitations. Intelligence practices are sources and methods, the specifics of how intelligence officers collect, analyze and disseminate secret information and the people who do it.

Intelligence policy should be public policy while intelligence practices should remain behind the veil of secrecy. Why? Secret intelligence policy is incompatible with democracy. If Americans suspect the Administration of conducting domestic spying outside of legal review as a policy, the intelligence community risks being viewed as a secret tool of domestic oppression. The policy must be defensible before the American public. On the wiretap controversy, Attorney General Alberto Gonzales acknowledged the conscious decision to not seek to change the FISA law to give NSA additional emergency provisions. During a 19 December 2005 press conference, Gonzales said:

“We have had discussions with Congress in the past – certain members of Congress – as to whether or not FISA could be amended to allow us to adequately deal with this kind of threat, and we were advised that that would be difficult, if not impossible.”

Such a position begs the question of what else is the intelligence community secretly doing that the Administration is afraid to vet with the public? This is just the kind of question that makes intelligence officials quake in their boots because it is the first volley of a political mud-slinging contest on why we should not trust the political party in power and, by extension, the intelligence community under its control.

Inquiring minds might ask how should the issue of domestic wiretaps by NSA been treated? The first opportunity was in December 2002 when the intelligence oversight committees from both the House and the Senate submitted their joint report investigating the 9/11 attacks. The gap between foreign and domestic intelligence collection was clearly identified in relationship to NSA authorities. Based on the public findings in this report, the Administration could have sought to amend FISA. The opportunity came up again when the 9/11 Commission submitted its report, reaching similar conclusions. The Patriot Act could have been a legislative vehicle. There would have been no need to get down into the weeds on the targets or methods, which unfortunately are appearing in the press as investigative journalists tap into knowledgeable sources who are either outraged or defensive of the political maneuvering.

The legislative route on intelligence policy, however, was shut down. So was the Congressional oversight. As Senator John D. Rockefeller IV described the oversight briefing he, Senator Pat Roberts, Representatives Porter Goss and Jan Harman received, they were not given any avenue to actually exercise oversight because they were not permitted to do anything to look into the legality or advisability of the wiretap program. It reflects poorly on oversight system if the only path to registering concern is for a senator to write a memorandum for the file that is sealed from everyone’s knowledge because the security concerns. The intelligence community benefits from a robust oversight process by elected officials because it provides a democratic seal of approval as long as the American public has confidence that the process is real.

In summation, Mr. Boot, the NSA wiretapping leak has harmed the intelligence community because the leak exposed both secret policy and effective practices. Americans will justifiably have less confidence in, and demand more checks on, US intelligence; al-Qa’ida and other terrorists groups will be motivated to tighten security practices on telephone and electronic communications with cell members in the US making collection more difficult. Just like in the case of the political outing of Valerie Plame, which caused a well-qualified officer specialized in WMD to be removed from the playing field, our intelligence capabilities end up paying the price. This is why "high-minded" professionals take issue with commentators who play politics with intelligence.

Monday, December 19, 2005

I'm Shocked; I'm Shocked

By Melissa Boyle Mahle

I must admit that I find myself shocked at the recent disclosures on the NSA eavesdropping activities in the US, but not for the same reasons that are getting play in the press. First of all, was anybody listening to the recommendations of the 9/11 Commission Report and the Joint Congressional Inquiry into Intelligence Community Activities before and after the Terrorist Attacks of September 11, 2001? Both of these investigations cited the gap between foreign and domestic intelligence collection as a major weakness in the intelligence community and one of the reasons why 9/11 was not stopped.

The Joint Congressional Inquiry in particular looked at the NSA and the difficulties this eavesdropping organization had in countering emerging terrorism threats. Although most of the sections dealing with the NSA were not declassified, the Joint Congressional Inquiry report clearly said that even though it has the mission and authority to seek FISA court approvals, NSA was not collecting in the US because of fears of being accused of targeting US citizens. The NSA and FBI were not working together to insure NSA leads were followed up by the FBI. Congress and the American people asked President Bush to fix the intelligence problem.

Bush did. So what is the stink really about?

Bush authorized the NSA to collect in the US against US persons without going through the established procedure that provides judicial review. This has people who are concerned about civil liberties going nuts. What shocks me is that individuals in Congress, members who sit on the intelligence oversight committees apparently agreed to NSA’s expanded activities without the protection of judicial review, which is against US law. Congress gave the green light to cede the review responsibilities back to the intelligence community, allowing the proverbial fox to watch the hen house.

I do not doubt Administration statements that NSA has established a strict review process to ensure there is no undue infringement on US civil liberties. As the action organization, however, the NSA scale will have a tendency to tip towards national security interests, not civil protection interests, because of built in biases. It was for these very same reasons that when the FISA courts were established, they were not established as review boards within the FBI. But even this is not the point; the Executive Order is counter to the 1978 Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA), which provides for domestic surveillance under extreme situations, but only with court approval.

Why did the Bush Administration decide against the FISA path? I don’t have any inside knowledge on this but I suspect the answer would have to do with cutting through red tape and giving NSA the agility to respond quickly to emerging threats. Think about it. If NSA is monitoring email correspondence of a terrorist operational planner overseas and suddenly this suspect starts sending messages back and forth with someone in the US. The emails move through a US-hosted ICP and are read by the intended recipient--a US person. This recipient then contacts several different people, all in the US, but in different areas, forwarding on parts of the messages. This would be considered significant intelligence activity that would require immediate follow up. But what if NSA had to turn off the system the minute the email started moving through US companies to US persons? If it took days or weeks to pass the intelligence to the FBI or to get FISA approvals, leads could be lost or things could go boom in the night.

Is this a sound argument? Perhaps, if it really does take days or weeks to put together a FISA request. But it doesn't. It can be done in one day. The FBI had a similar problem when monitoring the telephones of criminals. Smart criminals would use good telephone security by not using the same phone all the time, mixing it up with pay phones, newly acquired cell phones, or the phone of the neighborhood bar. The FBI succeeded in getting roving wiretap approvals so that the wire tap approval was on the individual, not the phone. Each time the criminal would use a different phone, that call could be monitored because of its connection to the criminal suspect. The FBI also has relatively new authority to initiate a wiretap in an emergency and then to seek FISA approval immediately afterwards. The FBI fixed the problem by refining the targeting method, not by cutting the FISA court out of the process. NSA should be able to use a similar approach for monitoring suspects. Plus, NSA should be working with the FBI on these operations in this new post 9/11 world of integration.

This case reveals once again the preference of the Bush Administration to establish secret policies under the guise of national security. This is very dangerous in a democracy. As I have argued before, it is defensible to have secret intelligence methods and operations, but intelligence policy must be transparent and subject to public debate, congressional oversight and judicial review. If the Bush Administration believes the FISA law is too restrictive, it should make its case in public to modify the law, and not break it under the cloak of secrecy and through Executive Order authorities.

Congress should take a second look at the expanded authorities of NSA for working inside the US and against US persons and determine if additional legislation is required and if there are sufficient safeguards built into the process so that protecting civil liberties does not become a discretionary practice or bureaucratic box checking exercise. There is a legitimate national security need here; let’s just deal with it in a democratic and legal way. Bush is simply wrong when he said, "An open debate would say to the enemy, 'Here is what we're doing to do.'" We are not talking about debating specific practices, but the policy. Bush's statement is akin to saying the National Security Act of 1947 should be classified.

One footnote on the FISA courts. I would not give them too much credit on the side of protecting civil liberties. Pre-9/11, these secret courts approved every FISA requested submitted to them by the FBI. It would be interesting to know if this batting average has continued post-9/11 as the numbers of FISA requests have dramatically increased.

For those interested, below are the relevent parts on the NSA from the “Joint Congressional Inquiry into Intelligence Community Activities before and after the Terrorist Attacks of September 11, 2001”.

Page xvi:

Finding 7: [Prior to September 11, the Intelligence Community’s ability to produce significant and timely signals intelligence on counterterrorism was limited by NSA’s failure to address modern communications technology aggressively, continuing conflict between Intelligence Community agencies, NSA’s cautious approach to any collection of intelligence relating to activities in the United States, and insufficient collaboration between NSA and the FBI regarding the potential for terrorist attacks within the United States].

Page 36:

[There were also gaps between NSA’s coverage of foreign communications and the FBI’s coverage of domestic communications that suggest a lack of sufficient attention to the domestic threat. Prior to September 11, neither agency focused on the importance of identifying and then ensuring coverage of communications between the United States and suspected terrorist-associated facilities abroad []. Consistent with its focus on communications abroad, NSA adopted a policy that avoided intercepting the communications between individuals in the United States and foreign countries].

NSA adopted this policy even though the collection of such communications is within its mission and it would have been possible for NSA to obtain FISA Court authorization for such collection. NSA Director Hayden testified to the Joint Inquiry that NSA did not want to be perceived as targeting individuals in the United States and believed that the FBI was instead responsible for conducting such surveillance. NSA did not, however, develop a plan with the FBI to collect and to ensure the dissemination of any relevant foreign intelligence to appropriate domestic agencies. This further evidences the slow response of the Intelligence Community to the developing transnational threat.


Page 73-75:

The inability to bring technical collection capabilities to bear in the counterterrorism area was particularly apparent in regard to signals intelligence that could have shed greater light on the potential for terrorist activity within the domestic United States. Both the NSA and the FBI have the authority, in certain circumstances, to intercept international communications, to include communications that have one communicant in the United States and one in a foreign country, for foreign intelligence purposes. While those authorities were intended to insure a seamless transition between U.S. foreign and domestic intelligence capabilities, significant gaps between those two spheres of intelligence coverage persisted and impeded domestic counterterrorist efforts.

Before September 11, it was NSA policy not to target terrorists in the United States, even though it could have obtained a Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court order authorizing such collection. NSA Director Hayden testified that it was more appropriate for the FBI to conduct such surveillance because NSA does not want to be perceived as targeting individuals in this country and because the intelligence produced about communicants in the United States is likely to be about their domestic activities.

[As a result, NSA regularly provided information about these targets to the FBI – both in its regular reporting and in response to specific requests from the FBI – [ ] that NSA acquired in the course of its collection operations. The FBI used this information in its investigations and obtained FISA Court authorization for electronic surveillance [ ] when FBI officials determined that such surveillance was necessary to assist one of its intelligence or law enforcement investigations].

[One collection capability that was used by both NSA and FBI under approval of the FISA Court (the “FISA Court technique”) had a [ ] probability of collecting [ ] communications between individuals in the United States and foreign countries. NSA did not use the FISA Court technique against [ ], however, precisely because of this [ ] probability].

As NSA Director Hayden has testified to the Joint Inquiry, NSA believed it was the FBI’s responsibility to collect communications of individuals in the United States. General Hayden stated two reasons for this position. One is that, since the individual is in the United States, the information obtained is most likely to relate to domestic activity that is of primary interest to the FBI. The second reason is that NSA does not want to be viewed as targeting persons in the United States. Joint Inquiry interviews of a wide range of NSA personnel, from the Director down to analysts, revealed the consistent theme that NSA did not target individuals in the United States. This is so ingrained at NSA that one counterterrorism supervisor at NSA admitted that she had never even thought about using this technique against [ ].

Despite the NSA view that this category of intelligence collection was the FBI’s responsibility, NSA and the FBI did not develop any plan to ensure that the Bureau made an informed decision about whether to use the FISA Court technique to collect communications between the United States and foreign countries that NSA was not covering. Thus, a gap developed between the level of coverage of communications between the United States and foreign countries that was technically and legally available to the Intelligence Community and the actual use of that surveillance capability].